NBA 2025-2026: Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat Prediction

Phoenix Suns

Home Team
55.8%
118.9 pts
VS

Miami Heat

Away Team
44.2%
115.0 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Phoenix Suns are predicted to edge out the Miami Heat with a win probability of 55.8%, projecting a scoreline of 118.9 to 115.0. The Suns’ expected starting lineup includes Collin Gillespie, Grayson Allen, Dillon Brooks, Royce O'Neale, and Mark Williams. Meanwhile, the Heat will likely feature Davion Mitchell, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson, Andrew Wiggins, and Bam Adebayo in their starting five.

Game Analysis

The Phoenix Suns have shown resilience in their recent performances, securing victories against the Philadelphia 76ers and Brooklyn Nets, but falling short against the Atlanta Hawks. This recent stretch highlights their ability to score effectively, with a notable 126 points against the Nets. Their starting five presents a balanced attack, with Dillon Brooks leading in average points made at 20.23, supported by high offensive ratings from both Grayson Allen and Mark Williams. The Miami Heat, on the other hand, have been on a rollercoaster with an explosive win against the Utah Jazz, scoring a whopping 147 points, yet experiencing a significant loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Their starting lineup features Norman Powell as a standout scorer with 23.25 average points made, combined with solid contributions from Andrew Wiggins and Bam Adebayo. However, their defense will need to tighten up, as they have allowed high scores in their recent outings.

Final Prediction

The Phoenix Suns have a slight edge due to their balanced offensive capabilities and recent form against strong opponents. A key factor to watch will be how well the Suns' defense can contain Miami’s high-scoring threats, particularly Norman Powell. If Phoenix can maintain their offensive momentum while tightening up defensively, they have a solid chance to secure the victory.