NBA 2025-2026: Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction

Houston Rockets

Home Team
55.7%
114.4 pts
VS

San Antonio Spurs

Away Team
44.3%
114.7 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Houston Rockets are predicted to edge out the San Antonio Spurs with a 55.7% probability of victory, and a tight scoreline of 114.7 to 114.4 in their favor. The Rockets will likely start Amen Thompson, Jabari Smith Jr., Kevin Durant, Tari Eason, and Alperen Şengün, while the Spurs are expected to field De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Harrison Barnes, and Victor Wembanyama.

Game Analysis

The Houston Rockets enter this matchup with a promising form, having won two of their last three games. They secured victories over the Memphis Grizzlies and Detroit Pistons, displaying a strong defensive front, holding their opponents under 105 points. Their only setback came against the Philadelphia 76ers in a high-scoring affair. Key contributors like Kevin Durant, with an impressive offensive rating of 126.3 and an average of 26.43 points per game, are central to their recent success. The Rockets' starting five collectively boasts strong offensive ratings, suggesting a potent scoring ability that could be crucial in a close game. On the other hand, the San Antonio Spurs have had mixed results, with a recent loss to the New Orleans Pelicans and another to the Rockets in their last matchup. However, they did manage a convincing win against the Utah Jazz, scoring 126 points. Victor Wembanyama stands out with a remarkable defensive rating of 101.6 and averages 24.19 points per game, making him a vital defensive anchor for the Spurs. Overall, the Spurs' starting lineup offers balanced offensive capabilities, though their defensive ratings indicate potential vulnerabilities.

Final Prediction

The Houston Rockets' edge lies in their recent form and the offensive prowess of their key players like Kevin Durant and Alperen Şengün. A critical factor to watch will be whether the Rockets can maintain their defensive intensity against a Spurs team capable of high-scoring games. As these two teams clash again, the Rockets' blend of scoring ability and recent momentum could prove decisive.