NBA 2025-2026: San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons: Winner probability, Total Points & Spread

Both teams come in 2–1 over their last three games but with different trajectories: San Antonio beat Philadelphia 131–91 and Brooklyn 126–110 around a 89–114 loss to New York — their wins have been high-scoring and decisive. Detroit split a recent pair of wins (122–119, 106–92) before a tight 109–113 loss; they’ve shown the ability to score in bunches but also concede in close games. Recent box scores show San Antonio averaging 115.3 points across those three, Detroit 112.3. Looking at the projected starting units, San Antonio’s five average an offensive rating of about 116.54, defensive rating near 109.52, and 16.87 average points made per starter. Detroit’s projected unit posts a higher offensive rating at roughly 120.28, defensive rating about 109.62, and 15.90 points made per starter. That sets up a clash of San Antonio’s strong two-way presence (notably Victor Wembanyama’s 99.6 defensive rating) against Detroit’s elite offensive pieces (Jalen Duren’s 129.4 offensive rating, Cade Cunningham’s 117.8).