Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Valentin Vacherot (rank 25) arrives with solid serving figures on paper—mean serve index 81.79—and an Elo of 1721.96, but his form index sits at 57.21 and his surface strength index is 56.18. He has been busy this week, logging 175 minutes on court, which is notably higher fatigue than his opponent. Arthur Fils (rank 31) carries a higher Elo (1828.15) and a stronger current form index of 82.51, paired with a surface strength index of 78.37. The gap in mean serve index between them is significant (about 15.9 points), and the mean return index gap is even larger (roughly 49.4 points), both advantages pointing clearly to Fils. Looking at recent matches, Vacherot has beaten Matteo Berrettini and Mariano Navone at Miami (two wins in this event) after a three-set loss to Casper Ruud at Indian Wells. Fils has been sharper of late, defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas in 55 minutes and Darwin Blanch in Miami before a loss to Alexander Zverev at Indian Wells. The form and surface metrics, combined with lighter cumulative minutes for Fils (120 vs 175), explain the tilt toward the Frenchman.