Francisco Cerundolo vs Stefanos Tsitsipas: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Cerundolo arrives ranked 20 with a stronger form index (50.25) and a higher Elo (1832.84) than Tsitsipas, who is ranked 49 with a form index of 43.23 and an Elo of 1670.30. Neither player carries fatigue from previous rounds. On clay their surface strength indices are similar but modest: Cerundolo 44.34, Tsitsipas 42.33. The mean serve indices differ markedly — Tsitsipas posts a 97.84 compared with Cerundolo’s 78.91 — a gap worth noting as it reflects a clear serving advantage for Tsitsipas. Return profiles are closer; Cerundolo’s mean return (84.93) versus Tsitsipas’s (87.58) does not exceed the 5-point threshold for special mention. Recent results show both players mixed form on hard courts in Miami: Cerundolo recorded two wins and one loss in his last three matches, including a straight-sets defeat to Alexander Zverev and victories in earlier rounds. Tsitsipas also posted two wins followed by a recent loss to Arthur Fils. Those hard-court outcomes are informative on match rhythm but do not change the clay-court projection derived from the players’ serve/return balance and Elo standings.