Jiri Lehecka vs Alejandro Tabilo: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Lehecka arrives as the higher-ranked player (No. 14) with a stronger Elo (1800.79) and a slightly better form index (76.77) than Tabilo (rank 39, Elo 1712.33, form 75.45). Fatigue is a notable factor: Lehecka has logged 182 minutes on court in Monte Carlo so far, considerably more than Tabilo’s 82 minutes, which could influence late-match energy on slow clay. Their surface strength indices are close (Lehecka 44.25 vs Tabilo 42.08), suggesting neither has a pronounced clay advantage. Serve and return profiles diverge sharply. Tabilo’s mean serve index (99.16) is substantially higher than Lehecka’s (83.00), a difference greater than 5 points and likely to affect short points; conversely Tabilo’s mean return index (89.65) is far superior to Lehecka’s (62.06), another large gap. Over the last three matches Lehecka is 2-1 (notably a long 182-minute win over Emilio Nava and a loss to Jannik Sinner), while Tabilo is also 2-1 (straight-sets victory over Marton Fucsovics in Monaco, plus a hard-court split in Miami). Those recent results show both players capable of beating higher-level opponents, but Lehecka’s ranking and headroom on clay tilt the balance.