S Hertogenbosch Netherlands Grass Atp 250 Round of 32

Jaume Munar vs Martin Damm: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Jaume Munar

Rank: #44
59%
VS

Martin Damm

Rank: #114
41%
Expected Total Games: 27.0
Predicted Winner: Jaume Munar

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Player Metrics

Jaume Munar

Form Index: 30.9
ELO Rating: 1600.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1672.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 32.1
Clay: 17.4
Grass: 19.7
Serve Rating: 95.3
Return Rating: 91.5

Martin Damm

Form Index: 49.9
ELO Rating: 1634.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1689.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 182.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 24.2
Clay: 15.3
Grass: 10.0
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 83.9

Recent Matches

Jaume Munar

  • Last Match: vs Hubert Hurkacz (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (0-2) clay Geneva 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Geneva 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-0) clay Geneva 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (1-2) clay Rome 153 min

Martin Damm

  • Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 59 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Max Houkes (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 123 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (0-2) clay Rome 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) clay Madrid 66 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) clay Madrid 107 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Jaume Munar
vs
0
Martin Damm
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

At s'Hertogenbosch in the Netherlands, Round of 32 on grass, Jaume Munar is narrowly favoured in this ATP 250–level clash. The model gives Munar a 59.38% chance of victory versus 40.62% for Martin Damm, with a projected total of about 27.03 games in the match.

Match Analysis

Munar arrives with the higher tour ranking (44) and a surface strength index of 19.73, while Damm is ranked 114 with a lower surface strength index of 9.95. Munar’s form index sits at 30.89 against Damm’s 49.90; Elo ratings tell a different story — Damm 1634.94 to Munar 1600.06 — but fatigue is a notable differentiator: Munar comes in fresh (0 minutes on court in this event) while Damm has already logged 182 minutes. On serve both players register very high mean serve indices (Munar 95.32, Damm 96.15) so neither has a clear serving edge; however Munar’s mean return index (91.51) is substantially higher than Damm’s (83.95), a difference worth noting on the quicker grass courts. Across recent results Munar is coming off mixed clay outings: two losses (to Mariano Navone and Hubert Hurkacz) and one win (over Francisco Comesana). Those matches include long rallies and a marathon 174-minute contest. Damm’s recent sequence is stronger at this venue: two wins on grass at s'Hertogenbosch (including a straight-sets win in 59 minutes) after a clay loss in Rome. The contrast is freshness and grass form for Damm versus Munar’s higher rank and superior returning metrics.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 27.0 Most likely outcome: 27 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Probability distribution chart for total games in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. The X-axis shows possible total games values and the Y-axis shows the predicted probability percentage for each outcome.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total games in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. The curve rises from 0% to 100%, showing the cumulative probability for each games total threshold.

Games Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Games Spread (Jaume Munar - Martin Damm) -0.0 Most likely spread: 0 (even number of games won)

📊 Games Spread Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each games spread outcome

Probability distribution chart for games spread in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. Positive values indicate Jaume Munar winning more games, negative values indicate Martin Damm winning more games.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for games spread in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each spread threshold.

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for this encounter is 18.01 total and the predicted aces lean toward a high count given the surface. The expected double faults figure is 5.1. Grass typically boosts ace production as the ball stays low and skids through, and with both players posting very high mean serve indices, the predicted aces are driven by strong serving from each side; expected double faults remain moderate.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 18.0 Most likely: 18 aces
Expected Total Double Faults 5.1 Most likely: 5 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Probability distribution chart for total aces in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. Higher ace counts are more likely on faster surfaces like grass.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for total aces in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each aces threshold.

Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Probability distribution chart for double faults in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. Clay surface matches tend to produce more double faults due to fatigue in longer rallies.
Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

Cumulative distribution function chart for double faults in Jaume Munar versus Martin Damm. The curve shows the cumulative probability for each double faults threshold.

🎯 Match Format Predictions

Tiebreak Likelihood

Probability that any tiebreak is played in this match

56.6% Predicted: Tiebreak likely

Exact Score Distribution BO3

Probability of each set-by-set outcome (Jaume Munar's perspective)

2-0 Most likely set score (33.8%)
Probability distribution of the final set score from Jaume Munar's perspective. Format: BO3.

Final Prediction

Munar’s edge comes from a higher ranking, far superior return numbers and freshness compared with Damm’s heavier court time, which collectively tilt the probability in his favour. The key factor to watch will be whether Munar can neutralize Damm’s serve with his strong return game early in points.

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