Alexandre Muller vs Rafael Jodar: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Muller comes in ranked 94 with an Elo of 1617.3 and a form index of 53.48; Jodar is marginally higher in the rankings at 89, with a stronger Elo of 1718.7 and a form index of 79.14. Fatigue numbers are comparable: Muller has logged 179 minutes in the event, Jodar 192, so both have spent significant time on court. Surface strength favors Muller slightly (42.36 vs 39.32), but the real disparities lie in serve and return metrics: Jodar’s mean serve index (96.62) is about 20 points higher than Muller’s (76.33), and his mean return index (90.00) exceeds Muller’s (73.55) by roughly 16 points — differences large enough to shape service games and break opportunities. Recent results back Jodar’s form — he has won his last two matches in Marrakech (including a three-seter versus Tomas Machac) after an earlier hard-court loss. Muller has also taken two straight wins on clay here, both in straight sets, after a loss on hard court. Both players arrive with momentum on clay this week, but Jodar’s higher consistency indicators and superior Elo signal more firepower across baseline exchanges and service opening points.