Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherot: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Berrettini arrives ranked 68 with a form index of 49.7, an Elo around 994 and a cumulative 170 minutes on court in this event, suggesting more time spent exerting himself so far. His surface strength index is modest (10.9) but his mean serve index is very high (95.5), underpinning his ability to hold serve. Vacherot is the higher-ranked player at 25, carries a slightly better form index (53.1) and a substantially higher Elo (1398.5), while having played only 84 minutes here — noticeably fresher. His surface strength index (12.7) is a touch higher than Berrettini’s. The clearest statistical contrast lies in return ability: Vacherot’s mean return index (88.35) dwarfs Berrettini’s (37.43), a gap that promises many probing return games. Serve ratings are close enough that neither player holds an overwhelming serving edge. Recent form is similar in outcomes: Berrettini has won his two Miami matches in straight sets after a loss to Zverev in Indian Wells, while Vacherot has also been competitive, beating Navone and Borges in straight sets and taking a tough three-set match to Casper Ruud in Indian Wells. Those results reflect momentum for both but differing workloads and opponent profiles.