Aleksandr Shevchenko vs Dominic Stricker: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model’s edge for Shevchenko comes mainly from recent record by level, while Stricker gains ground from a stronger recent form and slightly higher overall strength. Shevchenko’s recent win at Gstaad (a 2–1, 120-minute match vs Alexandre Muller) is influential; his ability to grind through a three-set clay match lifts his standing in matches at this level. Stricker’s uptick in form (his last match was a straight-sets win over Jaume Munar in Gstaad) and a marginally higher Elo are the counterweights pushing the probability toward him. Looking at the raw numbers, Shevchenko sits at rank 100 with an Elo of 1531.67 and a form index of 29.47; Stricker is ranked 343 with an Elo of 1535.03 and a higher form index of 36.98. Fatigue is a notable contrast: Shevchenko has accumulated 120 minutes on court in the event versus Stricker’s 82 minutes. On clay-specific skills, Stricker’s surface strength index (12.71) is a bit higher than Shevchenko’s (9.43). Serve/return profiles are very close — mean serve indices of 95.41 vs 95.33 and return indices of 88.01 vs 86.60 — so neither player holds a large serving advantage. Over the last three matches, Shevchenko has one recent win and two straight-set defeats on grass; Stricker has one recent win at Gstaad and two losses (hard and clay) in the previous outings.