Latest League One AI Predictions: Results, Goals & Playoff Odds

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Last updated: 2026-10-09

Game #1

Leicester

HOME
VS

Peterboro

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Leicester
68.8%
Draw
18.3%
Peterboro
12.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
50.9%
No Goal
49.1%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #2

Plymouth

HOME
VS

AFC Wimbledon

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Plymouth
65.2%
Draw
22.3%
AFC Wimbledon
12.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
48.2%
No Goal
51.8%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 No Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #3

Stockport

HOME
VS

Barnsley

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Stockport
63.0%
Draw
22.1%
Barnsley
15.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
54.6%
No Goal
45.4%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #4

Mansfield

HOME
VS

Bromley

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Mansfield
56.5%
Draw
24.1%
Bromley
19.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.0%
No Goal
49.0%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #5

Bradford

HOME
VS

Leyton Orient

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Bradford
56.2%
Draw
26.7%
Leyton Orient
17.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
50.2%
No Goal
49.8%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #6

Huddersfield

HOME
VS

Sheffield Weds

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Huddersfield
54.7%
Draw
26.6%
Sheffield Weds
18.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.3%
No Goal
43.7%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #7

Cambridge

HOME
VS

Blackpool

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Cambridge
48.8%
Draw
28.9%
Blackpool
22.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.2%
No Goal
43.8%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #8

Doncaster

HOME
VS

Burton

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Doncaster
48.0%
Draw
28.5%
Burton
23.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
50.0%
No Goal
50.0%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 No Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #9

Stevenage

HOME
VS

Wigan

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Stevenage
45.4%
Draw
29.6%
Wigan
25.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
45.5%
No Goal
54.5%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 No Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #10

Notts County

HOME
VS

Oxford

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Notts County
38.9%
Draw
31.2%
Oxford
29.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
53.8%
No Goal
46.2%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #11

Wycombe

HOME
VS

Luton

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Wycombe
32.2%
Draw
29.4%
Luton
38.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
58.3%
No Goal
41.7%

Predicted Result

Away Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #12

Milton Keynes Dons

HOME
VS

Reading

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
29.9%
Draw
28.5%
Reading
41.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
54.2%
No Goal
45.8%

Predicted Result

Away Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

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What's Inside Each Match Analysis

Click on any match card above to access our in-depth match analysis pages. Each page provides insights you won't find elsewhere:

AI-Generated Match Preview

Data-driven match analysis with prediction summary, team form assessment, and key tactical insights.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Analysis

Detailed probability breakdown for goals predictions based on team scoring patterns and defensive records.

Shots Predictions

Expected shots derived from neural network probability distributions, not simple averages.

Corners Predictions

Neural network-based corner kick predictions with probability context for more informed analysis.

Goal Spread Predictions

Expected goal difference (home - away) with full probability distributions for handicap analysis.

Learn About Our Methodology

AI-Powered League One Predictions

League One sits at the third rung of the English football pyramid, where 24 clubs chase two automatic promotion spots and a four-team playoff for the third ticket to the Championship. Fallen giants rebuilding and small-town sides punching above their budget make for tight, physical football over a demanding calendar. We model roughly 20 seasons of League One back to 2005-06, converting each fixture into calibrated probabilities for result, goals, corners, shots and goal margin.

Our proprietary neural network models are trained on 20 seasons of League One data and leverage approximately 600 features including rolling team-form indices, Elo & Glicko-2 rating dynamics, shots, corners and discipline metrics, quality-of-result indicators from closed matches.

Match Winner (1X2)
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Corners
Shots
Goal Spread

What sets us apart: Unlike competitors who provide simple averages for shots and corners, our neural network models generate expected values derived from probability distributions. This means our predictions capture the full range of likely outcomes, providing deeper analytical insight than basic statistical averages.

Our models incorporate recent team form, home/away performance differentials, Elo and Glicko-2 rating dynamics, quality-of-result indicators and match-level metrics such as shots made and conceded, corners and fouls to deliver comprehensive match predictions.

Historical League One KPIs

Explore how key League One metrics have evolved over the last 20 seasons. These trends inform our AI models and provide context for current predictions.

44%
Home Wins %
30%
Away Wins %
26%
Draws %
49%
Over 2.5 Goals %
52%
Both Teams Score %
2.6
Avg Goals per Match
22.3
Avg Shots per Match
10.7
Avg Corners per Match

Match Results Trend

League One match results trend chart showing home wins, away wins, and draws percentages across seasons

Goals & Over 2.5 Trend

League One goals trend chart showing average goals scored and over 2.5 percentage across seasons

Match Metrics Trend

League One match metrics chart showing average shots and corners per match across seasons

League One Power Rankings

Two rating models, one table. ELO measures accumulated season strength. Glicko-2 adds a confidence layer, flagging teams whose form is inconsistent. The Rank Δ column shows where both systems disagree most. Updated after every matchday.

View Power Rankings

Cross-League Prediction Hub

Compare predictions across all twelve leagues in one view. Sort matches by over/under 2.5 probability, goal spread, corners, or draw likelihood.

O/U 2.5 Spread Corners BTTS Draws

Prediction Transparency

We believe in full transparency. All our historical predictions and their outcomes are publicly available. Track our prediction accuracy and model performance over time:

Current Season Performance 2025-2026 Season Performance Model Calibration

Get Daily League One Predictions

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Download League One Probability Data

Every match analysis includes downloadable probability distributions in JSON and CSV format. Access full PDFs, CDFs, and match prediction data for your own analysis.

Open any match analysis above and download structured data with a free account.

Learn How to Use Our Data

Frequently Asked Questions

League One is famously even — squad budgets are close, and mid-table clubs can beat leaders on any weekend. Our models lean on Elo and Glicko-2 ratings plus recent form to separate genuinely strong sides from hot streaks.

The engine estimates each club's chance of finishing in the automatic top two, reaching the playoffs (3rd-6th), or dropping into League Two. Explore the full run on the League One title simulations page.

League One packs in frequent midweek rounds, so squad rotation and fatigue matter. Our features account for match spacing and recent load, so a club playing its third game in a week is rated accordingly.

Glicko-2 is a rating system that tracks both a club's strength and how uncertain that estimate is. In a division with heavy squad turnover between seasons, that uncertainty term helps the model react quickly when a promoted or relegated side arrives.

Yes — total corners and total shots each get their own Poisson model that outputs a full distribution, so you can read the probability of any over/under line, not just a single expected number.

Our English third-tier records run back roughly 20 seasons to 2005-06, covering hundreds of clubs' promotion and relegation campaigns.

Each round's predictions appear a few days ahead of kickoff and are refreshed as results and form updates come in.