Euroleague AI Predictions: Win Probabilities, Totals & Spreads

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Latest predictions · updated 2026-09-29

Game #1

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Valencia Basket

HOME
VS

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

AWAY

Win Probability

Valencia Basket
75.7%
Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz
24.3%

AI Predictions

Total: 179.1 pts
Valencia Basket by 7.0 pts

Game #2

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens

HOME
VS

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne

AWAY

Win Probability

Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens
71.3%
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne
28.7%

AI Predictions

Total: 168.7 pts
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens by 6.3 pts

Game #3

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Armani Olimpia Milan

HOME
VS

Virtus Bologna

AWAY

Win Probability

Armani Olimpia Milan
66.9%
Virtus Bologna
33.1%

AI Predictions

Total: 170.8 pts
Armani Olimpia Milan by 3.6 pts

Game #4

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul

HOME
VS

FC Bayern Munich

AWAY

Win Probability

Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul
66.5%
FC Bayern Munich
33.5%

AI Predictions

Total: 163.5 pts
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul by 3.8 pts

Game #5

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Dubai Basketball

HOME
VS

FC Barcelona

AWAY

Win Probability

Dubai Basketball
62.6%
FC Barcelona
37.4%

AI Predictions

Total: 171.9 pts
Dubai Basketball by 1.5 pts

Game #6

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade

HOME
VS

Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv

AWAY

Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade
61.7%
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv
38.3%

AI Predictions

Total: 173.0 pts
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade by 1.3 pts

Game #7

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv

HOME
VS

Besiktas Istanbul

AWAY

Win Probability

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv
61.4%
Besiktas Istanbul
38.6%

AI Predictions

Total: 177.4 pts
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv by 0.5 pts

Game #8

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Paris Basketball

HOME
VS

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade

AWAY

Win Probability

Paris Basketball
60.3%
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade
39.7%

AI Predictions

Total: 174.6 pts
Paris Basketball by 2.4 pts

Game #9

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Zalgiris Kaunas

HOME
VS

Olympiacos Piraeus

AWAY

Win Probability

Zalgiris Kaunas
56.7%
Olympiacos Piraeus
43.3%

AI Predictions

Total: 171.5 pts

Game #10

Early-season model: team ratings and last season's scoring profile until Round 7, when our neural networks take over. Reported separately from the full-season record.

Anadolu Efes Istanbul

HOME
VS

Real Madrid

AWAY

Win Probability

Anadolu Efes Istanbul
53.6%
Real Madrid
46.4%

AI Predictions

Total: 167.8 pts

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Historical EuroLeague Trends

How the key numbers have moved across 26 seasons. Based on 4,890 EuroLeague games (2000-2025), the same history our models learn from.

63%
Home Court Wins
158.5
Avg Total Points
11.0
Avg Margin
30%
Close Games (≤5)

Scoring Evolution

Scoring has climbed to the highest level in EuroLeague history. Combined points sat around 150 in the early 2010s and now top 170 per game in 2025-26 — a clear, sustained rise that our total-points model tracks season by season.

Home Court Advantage

Home court matters more in EuroLeague than in the NBA: home teams have won about 63% of regular games over 26 seasons (neutral-site Final Fours excluded). The edge has stayed remarkably stable, drifting between 60% and 66% year to year.

Average Winning Margin

EuroLeague is a tight league. The average winning margin hovers around 11 points and has if anything narrowed slightly, with roughly 30% of games decided by 5 points or fewer.

AI-Powered EuroLeague Predictions

Our neural-network models cover EuroLeague basketball with the same probabilistic approach as our NBA and tennis systems: full probability distributions, not single numbers. Each game card links to a match page with the winner attribution, the spread & total distribution charts, and per-player projections, including PIR, EuroLeague's signature box-score metric.

Match Winner
Total Points
Point Spread
Player Props + PIR

Every winner prediction carries a concept-level explanation (team strength, scoring & shooting, rebounding & paint presence, ballhandling) measured in win-probability points, and the model is calibrated and published.

Transparency

We publish our model calibration: reliability curves for every EuroLeague model, including PIR.