Latest Serie B AI Predictions: Results, Goals & Promozione Odds

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Last updated: 2026-10-09

Game #1

Benevento

HOME
VS

Cesena

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Benevento
47.0%
Draw
29.1%
Cesena
23.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
52.1%
No Goal
47.9%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal

Game #2

Virtus Entella

HOME
VS

Juve Stabia

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Virtus Entella
43.4%
Draw
29.9%
Juve Stabia
26.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
52.7%
No Goal
47.3%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal

Game #3

Modena

HOME
VS

Verona

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Modena
40.4%
Draw
30.0%
Verona
29.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
47.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
57.1%
No Goal
42.9%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal

Game #4

Sudtirol

HOME
VS

Ascoli

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Sudtirol
36.6%
Draw
32.0%
Ascoli
31.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.6%
No Goal
48.4%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal

Game #5

Catanzaro

HOME
VS

Mantova

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Catanzaro
36.3%
Draw
31.4%
Mantova
32.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.3%
Under 2.5
49.7%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
53.6%
No Goal
46.4%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal

Game #6

Padova

HOME
VS

Carrarese

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Padova
36.0%
Draw
31.6%
Carrarese
32.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
47.8%
Under 2.5
52.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.7%
No Goal
48.3%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal

Game #7

Avellino

HOME
VS

Sampdoria

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Avellino
33.6%
Draw
31.0%
Sampdoria
35.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
47.2%
Under 2.5
52.8%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
53.8%
No Goal
46.2%

Predicted Result

Away Under 2.5 Goal

Game #8

Vicenza

HOME
VS

Pisa

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Vicenza
32.1%
Draw
29.6%
Pisa
38.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
58.5%
No Goal
41.5%

Predicted Result

Away Over 2.5 Goal

Game #9

Arezzo

HOME
VS

Cremonese

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Arezzo
30.6%
Draw
29.0%
Cremonese
40.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.3%
No Goal
48.7%

Predicted Result

Away Under 2.5 Goal

Game #10

Empoli

HOME
VS

Palermo

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Empoli
24.8%
Draw
26.2%
Palermo
49.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
45.0%
Under 2.5
55.0%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
53.6%
No Goal
46.4%

Predicted Result

Away Under 2.5 Goal

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What's Inside Each Match Analysis

Click on any match card above to access our in-depth match analysis pages. Each page provides insights you won't find elsewhere:

AI-Generated Match Preview

Data-driven match analysis with prediction summary, team form assessment, and key tactical insights.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Analysis

Detailed probability breakdown for goals predictions based on team scoring patterns and defensive records.

Shots Predictions

Expected shots derived from neural network probability distributions, not simple averages.

Corners Predictions

Neural network-based corner kick predictions with probability context for more informed analysis.

Goal Spread Predictions

Expected goal difference (home - away) with full probability distributions for handicap analysis.

AI-Powered Serie B Predictions

Serie B is the second tier of Italian football — tactically intricate, tightly contested and rich in historic clubs chasing a return to Serie A. Two clubs earn automatic promotion, while a multi-round promotion playoff draws in the sides from 3rd to 8th, complete with preliminary rounds (preliminari). At the bottom, a two-legged playout decides the final relegation place (the salvezza fight). Our models cover Serie B from 2017-18 onward, framing each match as a set of calibrated probabilities.

Our proprietary neural network models are trained on 9 seasons of Serie B data and leverage approximately 600 features including rolling team-form indices, Elo & Glicko-2 rating dynamics, shots, corners and discipline metrics, quality-of-result indicators from closed matches.

Match Winner (1X2)
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Corners
Shots
Goal Spread

What sets us apart: Unlike competitors who provide simple averages for shots and corners, our neural network models generate expected values derived from probability distributions. This means our predictions capture the full range of likely outcomes, providing deeper analytical insight than basic statistical averages.

Our models incorporate recent team form, home/away performance differentials, Elo and Glicko-2 rating dynamics, quality-of-result indicators and match-level metrics such as shots made and conceded, corners and fouls to deliver comprehensive match predictions.

Historical Serie B KPIs

Explore how key Serie B metrics have evolved over the last 9 seasons. These trends inform our AI models and provide context for current predictions.

41%
Home Wins %
27%
Away Wins %
32%
Draws %
45%
Over 2.5 Goals %
54%
Both Teams Score %
2.5
Avg Goals per Match
24.7
Avg Shots per Match
9.7
Avg Corners per Match

Match Results Trend

Serie B match results trend chart showing home wins, away wins, and draws percentages across seasons

Goals & Over 2.5 Trend

Serie B goals trend chart showing average goals scored and over 2.5 percentage across seasons

Match Metrics Trend

Serie B match metrics chart showing average shots and corners per match across seasons

Serie B Power Rankings

Two rating models, one table. ELO measures accumulated season strength. Glicko-2 adds a confidence layer, flagging teams whose form is inconsistent. The Rank Δ column shows where both systems disagree most. Updated after every matchday.

Cross-League Prediction Hub

Compare predictions across all twelve leagues in one view. Sort matches by over/under 2.5 probability, goal spread, corners, or draw likelihood.

Prediction Transparency

We believe in full transparency. All our historical predictions and their outcomes are publicly available. Track our prediction accuracy and model performance over time:

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Download Serie B Probability Data

Every match analysis includes downloadable probability distributions in JSON and CSV format. Access full PDFs, CDFs, and match prediction data for your own analysis.

Open any match analysis above and download structured data with a free account.

Learn How to Use Our Data

Frequently Asked Questions

Two clubs go up automatically; the sides finishing 3rd to 8th enter a multi-round playoff — including preliminary matches — for the third promotion place. Our Monte Carlo model covers the automatic race and the playoff field on the Serie B title simulations page.

The playout is a two-legged relegation decider between clubs near the bottom of the table. Our simulations estimate each club's relegation risk, including the sides most likely to be dragged into that playout.

Italian second-tier football is defensively organised and low on blowouts, so margins are fine. Our goal-spread and under/over models are trained on Serie B's own results to capture that tight, tactical profile.

Serie B is typically a 20-club division with a 38-round double round-robin, though the exact size has varied over the years; our models adapt to each season's format.

Every fixture gets a 1X2 result probability, under/over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, and full distributions for total corners, total shots and goal spread.

Italian second-tier data from 2017-18 onward, covering several promotion pushes, playoff campaigns and relegation battles.

Both ratings persist across seasons, so a club dropping from Serie A or rising from Serie C is placed on a consistent strength scale. See how these feed the probability charts.