Latest Championship AI Predictions: Results, Goals & Promotion Odds

Also available in Claude and Perplexity. Query these predictions in plain language: our native connector lets your AI assistant call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Last updated: 2026-10-09

Game #1

West Ham

HOME
VS

QPR

AWAY

Match Result Probability

West Ham
60.1%
Draw
23.5%
QPR
16.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
57.5%
No Goal
42.5%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #2

Southampton

HOME
VS

Portsmouth

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Southampton
53.5%
Draw
25.7%
Portsmouth
20.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.6%
No Goal
43.4%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #3

Swansea

HOME
VS

Norwich

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Swansea
42.5%
Draw
30.6%
Norwich
26.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.0%
No Goal
44.0%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #4

Middlesbrough

HOME
VS

Wolves

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Middlesbrough
42.2%
Draw
29.8%
Wolves
27.9%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
59.2%
No Goal
40.8%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #5

Sheffield United

HOME
VS

Lincoln

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Sheffield United
41.5%
Draw
30.8%
Lincoln
27.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
46.7%
No Goal
53.3%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 No Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #6

West Brom

HOME
VS

Birmingham

AWAY

Match Result Probability

West Brom
40.5%
Draw
31.4%
Birmingham
28.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
46.1%
Under 2.5
53.9%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
50.7%
No Goal
49.3%

Predicted Result

Home Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #7

Preston

HOME
VS

Millwall

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Preston
36.5%
Draw
30.7%
Millwall
32.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
53.5%
Under 2.5
46.5%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
54.3%
No Goal
45.7%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #8

Derby

HOME
VS

Wrexham

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Derby
35.4%
Draw
30.5%
Wrexham
34.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.8%
No Goal
48.2%

Predicted Result

Home Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #9

Blackburn

HOME
VS

Cardiff

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Blackburn
33.6%
Draw
30.8%
Cardiff
35.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
49.8%
Under 2.5
50.2%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
57.7%
No Goal
42.3%

Predicted Result

Away Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #10

Bolton

HOME
VS

Stoke

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Bolton
32.9%
Draw
31.1%
Stoke
36.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.9%
Under 2.5
51.1%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
56.5%
No Goal
43.5%

Predicted Result

Away Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #11

Watford

HOME
VS

Burnley

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Watford
32.3%
Draw
30.1%
Burnley
37.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
53.5%
No Goal
46.5%

Predicted Result

Away Over 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Game #12

Charlton

HOME
VS

Bristol City

AWAY

Match Result Probability

Charlton
31.8%
Draw
29.9%
Bristol City
38.4%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%

Goal/No Goal

Goal
51.9%
No Goal
48.1%

Predicted Result

Away Under 2.5 Goal
View Match Analysis

Share this page

What's Inside Each Match Analysis

Click on any match card above to access our in-depth match analysis pages. Each page provides insights you won't find elsewhere:

AI-Generated Match Preview

Data-driven match analysis with prediction summary, team form assessment, and key tactical insights.

Under/Over 2.5 Goals Analysis

Detailed probability breakdown for goals predictions based on team scoring patterns and defensive records.

Shots Predictions

Expected shots derived from neural network probability distributions, not simple averages.

Corners Predictions

Neural network-based corner kick predictions with probability context for more informed analysis.

Goal Spread Predictions

Expected goal difference (home - away) with full probability distributions for handicap analysis.

Learn About Our Methodology

AI-Powered Championship Predictions

The EFL Championship is English football's second tier — a 24-club, 46-match marathon feeding two automatic promotion places and a four-team playoff that ends in a Wembley final. Parachute-payment clubs freshly relegated from the Premier League collide with ambitious challengers, producing one of Europe's most unpredictable divisions. Our models study roughly 20 seasons of Championship football back to 2005-06, turning match result, goals, corners, shots and goal spread into full probability distributions rather than single-number guesses.

Our proprietary neural network models are trained on 20 seasons of Championship data and leverage approximately 600 features including rolling team-form indices, Elo & Glicko-2 rating dynamics, shots, corners and discipline metrics, quality-of-result indicators from closed matches.

Match Winner (1X2)
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Corners
Shots
Goal Spread

What sets us apart: Unlike competitors who provide simple averages for shots and corners, our neural network models generate expected values derived from probability distributions. This means our predictions capture the full range of likely outcomes, providing deeper analytical insight than basic statistical averages.

Our models incorporate recent team form, home/away performance differentials, Elo and Glicko-2 rating dynamics, quality-of-result indicators and match-level metrics such as shots made and conceded, corners and fouls to deliver comprehensive match predictions.

Historical Championship KPIs

Explore how key Championship metrics have evolved over the last 20 seasons. These trends inform our AI models and provide context for current predictions.

43%
Home Wins %
29%
Away Wins %
27%
Draws %
48%
Over 2.5 Goals %
52%
Both Teams Score %
2.6
Avg Goals per Match
23.7
Avg Shots per Match
10.6
Avg Corners per Match

Match Results Trend

Championship match results trend chart showing home wins, away wins, and draws percentages across seasons

Goals & Over 2.5 Trend

Championship goals trend chart showing average goals scored and over 2.5 percentage across seasons

Match Metrics Trend

Championship match metrics chart showing average shots and corners per match across seasons

Championship Power Rankings

Two rating models, one table. ELO measures accumulated season strength. Glicko-2 adds a confidence layer, flagging teams whose form is inconsistent. The Rank Δ column shows where both systems disagree most. Updated after every matchday.

View Power Rankings

Cross-League Prediction Hub

Compare predictions across all twelve leagues in one view. Sort matches by over/under 2.5 probability, goal spread, corners, or draw likelihood.

O/U 2.5 Spread Corners BTTS Draws

Prediction Transparency

We believe in full transparency. All our historical predictions and their outcomes are publicly available. Track our prediction accuracy and model performance over time:

Current Season Performance 2025-2026 Season Performance Model Calibration

Get Daily Championship Predictions

If you like our content and want to receive daily predictions, subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven Championship predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel

Download Championship Probability Data

Every match analysis includes downloadable probability distributions in JSON and CSV format. Access full PDFs, CDFs, and match prediction data for your own analysis.

Open any match analysis above and download structured data with a free account.

Learn How to Use Our Data

Frequently Asked Questions

With 24 clubs each playing 46 matches — plus midweek rounds and the deepest fixture congestion in England — form swings quickly. Our models weight recent matchdays and rest days so a probability reflects a club's current state, not its August reputation.

Yes. Our Monte Carlo engine plays out the remaining fixtures thousands of times to estimate each club's probability of automatic promotion, a top-six playoff place, and relegation. See the Championship title simulations page for the full table.

Parachute-funded clubs often reshape the division. Our Elo and Glicko-2 ratings carry a club's strength across divisions, so a side dropping in from the Premier League starts with a rating that reflects its true level rather than a blank slate.

Every match gets a 1X2 result probability, under/over 2.5 goals, both-teams-to-score, and full distributions for total corners, total shots and goal spread — each read directly from a dedicated model.

Our second-tier English coverage stretches back roughly 20 seasons to 2005-06, giving the models a deep history of promotion pushes, playoff runs and relegation battles to learn from.

A distribution shows the likelihood of every outcome — the full shape of goals, corners or the goal margin — so you can judge how certain a forecast is. Read our guide to probability charts.

Predictions are generated a few days before each matchday and updated as new results and team-form data arrive, so they reflect the latest picture across the division.