Championship 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

45.9%
Final Result Accuracy
51.0%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
52.4%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
72.0%
Double Chance Accuracy
May 02, 2026
Wrexham vs Middlesbrough
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.8% (Wrexham)
Draw: 28.6%
Away Win: 44.7% (Middlesbrough)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.8%
Under: 49.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.6%
No Goal: 44.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Millwall vs Oxford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.3% (Millwall)
Draw: 25.0%
Away Win: 16.7% (Oxford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Blackburn vs Leicester
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.2% (Blackburn)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 35.3% (Leicester)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.2%
Under: 54.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Bristol City vs Stoke
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.4% (Bristol City)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 34.1% (Stoke)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.7%
No Goal: 52.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Derby vs Sheffield United
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Derby)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.8% (Sheffield United)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.1%
Under: 53.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.5%
No Goal: 46.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Ipswich vs QPR
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.6% (Ipswich)
Draw: 18.3%
Away Win: 13.1% (QPR)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.7%
Under: 43.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
May 02, 2026
Hull vs Norwich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.5% (Hull)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 35.1% (Norwich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.9%
Under: 49.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.1%
No Goal: 42.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Portsmouth vs Birmingham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.9% (Portsmouth)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 38.5% (Birmingham)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 40.4%
Under: 59.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 46.2%
No Goal: 53.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Preston vs Southampton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.2% (Preston)
Draw: 25.7%
Away Win: 50.1% (Southampton)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.6%
No Goal: 41.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Sheffield Weds vs West Brom
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 15.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Draw: 16.8%
Away Win: 67.4% (West Brom)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.2%
Under: 51.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.4%
No Goal: 50.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Swansea vs Charlton
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Swansea)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 30.6% (Charlton)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.6%
Under: 52.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
May 02, 2026
Watford vs Coventry
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 24.3% (Watford)
Draw: 25.6%
Away Win: 50.1% (Coventry)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.7%
Under: 46.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.5%
No Goal: 45.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 28, 2026
Southampton vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.2% (Southampton)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 26.6% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.4%
No Goal: 43.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 26, 2026
Coventry vs Wrexham
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 76.9% (Coventry)
Draw: 15.3%
Away Win: 7.8% (Wrexham)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.7%
No Goal: 50.3%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Norwich vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.4% (Norwich)
Draw: 25.9%
Away Win: 18.7% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Charlton vs Hull
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.6% (Charlton)
Draw: 32.3%
Away Win: 32.1% (Hull)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Watford
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 65.1% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 21.0%
Away Win: 13.8% (Watford)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.5%
Under: 42.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.9%
No Goal: 44.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
West Brom vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.0% (West Brom)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 38.9% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.3%
Under: 55.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 25, 2026
Birmingham vs Bristol City
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 59.9% (Birmingham)
Draw: 24.1%
Away Win: 16.0% (Bristol City)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Sheffield United vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 67.3% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 20.1%
Away Win: 12.6% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Oxford vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 85.4% (Oxford)
Draw: 9.7%
Away Win: 4.8% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 62.0%
Under: 38.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.9%
No Goal: 48.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
QPR vs Derby
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.4% (QPR)
Draw: 32.2%
Away Win: 32.4% (Derby)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 25, 2026
Stoke vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (Stoke)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 28.2% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 42.4%
Under: 57.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.9%
No Goal: 51.1%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 24, 2026
Leicester vs Millwall
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.9% (Leicester)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 23.4% (Millwall)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 22, 2026
Sheffield United vs Blackburn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 60.6% (Sheffield United)
Draw: 22.9%
Away Win: 16.5% (Blackburn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.2%
No Goal: 52.8%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 22, 2026
Middlesbrough vs Sheffield Weds
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 92.8% (Middlesbrough)
Draw: 5.3%
Away Win: 1.9% (Sheffield Weds)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 61.0%
Under: 39.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.1%
No Goal: 49.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
April 22, 2026
Charlton vs Ipswich
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.0% (Charlton)
Draw: 25.2%
Away Win: 49.8% (Ipswich)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.0%
Under: 51.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 22, 2026
Birmingham vs Preston
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 63.0% (Birmingham)
Draw: 23.5%
Away Win: 13.5% (Preston)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 21, 2026
QPR vs Swansea
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (QPR)
Draw: 28.7%
Away Win: 29.4% (Swansea)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.3%
Under: 51.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.4%
No Goal: 51.6%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
April 21, 2026
Coventry vs Portsmouth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 78.8% (Coventry)
Draw: 13.8%
Away Win: 7.3% (Portsmouth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 47.5%
No Goal: 52.5%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal