2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
October 04, 2025
Dresden vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.8% (Dresden)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.0% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.7%
Under: 51.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.9%
No Goal: 49.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 03, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.6% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 31.7% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 03, 2025
Braunschweig vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.6% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 27.4%
Away Win: 45.0% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.5%
Under: 49.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 28, 2025
Preußen Münster vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.9% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 29.5%
Away Win: 28.6% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.3%
No Goal: 49.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 28, 2025
Nurnberg vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.6% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 24.2% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.0%
Under: 47.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 28, 2025
Hannover vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 46.4% (Hannover)
Draw: 28.5%
Away Win: 25.1% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.0%
Under: 52.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 27, 2025
Karlsruhe vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 44.6% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 26.1% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.1%
No Goal: 43.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.7% (Elversberg)
Draw: 30.3%
Away Win: 27.0% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.3%
No Goal: 47.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Paderborn vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 45.0% (Paderborn)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 25.0% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.0%
Under: 49.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.2%
No Goal: 43.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 27, 2025
Bochum vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.4% (Bochum)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 20.6% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.2%
Under: 47.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.6%
No Goal: 49.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 26, 2025
Schalke 04 vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 51.1% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 21.1% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 57.1%
Under: 42.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.7%
No Goal: 39.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 26, 2025
Darmstadt vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 58.5% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 25.0%
Away Win: 16.5% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.2%
Under: 43.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.4%
No Goal: 43.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 21, 2025
Holstein Kiel vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 30.6% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 48.3%
No Goal: 51.7%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 21, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 35.9% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.6%
Under: 53.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.0%
No Goal: 48.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 21, 2025
Dresden vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.5% (Dresden)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 35.9% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.2%
Under: 53.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.6%
No Goal: 44.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Magdeburg vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.3% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 30.9% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Nurnberg vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.0% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 31.7%
Away Win: 31.4% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.4%
Under: 48.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.6%
No Goal: 46.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 20, 2025
Hertha vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.9% (Hertha)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 37.0% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.4%
Under: 52.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
September 20, 2025
Braunschweig vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 32.5% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.5%
Under: 54.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.3%
No Goal: 48.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 19, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.9% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 30.1%
Away Win: 27.0% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.4%
Under: 52.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
September 19, 2025
Bielefeld vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 54.0% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 25.2%
Away Win: 20.7% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.7%
Under: 43.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.4%
No Goal: 39.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal