2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
November 01, 2025
Darmstadt vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.4% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 27.8%
Away Win: 21.8% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Nurnberg vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.3% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 26.1%
Away Win: 20.6% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.7%
Under: 47.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Karlsruhe vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.9% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 31.2% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.3%
Under: 49.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.0%
No Goal: 44.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 01, 2025
Hertha vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.2% (Hertha)
Draw: 30.4%
Away Win: 28.4% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.9%
Under: 46.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.9%
No Goal: 45.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 31, 2025
Preußen Münster vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.8% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 35.3% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.3%
Under: 50.7%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.7%
No Goal: 48.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 31, 2025
Elversberg vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.9% (Elversberg)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 28.4% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.7%
Under: 46.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 62.6%
No Goal: 37.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 26, 2025
Magdeburg vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.8% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 30.1% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.6%
Under: 43.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.0%
No Goal: 44.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 26, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.8% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 29.0% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.4%
Under: 45.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.3%
No Goal: 43.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 26, 2025
Braunschweig vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.8% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 45.0% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.6%
No Goal: 43.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Hertha vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.2% (Hertha)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 27.9% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.1%
Under: 50.9%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.6%
No Goal: 47.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 25, 2025
Holstein Kiel vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 53.6% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 26.4%
Away Win: 20.0% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.2%
Under: 48.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.1%
No Goal: 48.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Dresden vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 28.4% (Dresden)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 43.2% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.6%
Under: 51.4%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.0%
No Goal: 44.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 25, 2025
Bielefeld vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.0% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 40.7% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.1%
Under: 46.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.8%
No Goal: 39.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 24, 2025
Schalke 04 vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 31.1% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.6%
Under: 49.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 24, 2025
Greuther Furth vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 31.7% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 29.4%
Away Win: 38.9% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.6%
Under: 47.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.1%
No Goal: 43.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 19, 2025
Darmstadt vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.6% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 24.9%
Away Win: 19.5% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.6%
Under: 45.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 19, 2025
Elversberg vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 68.8% (Elversberg)
Draw: 19.5%
Away Win: 11.7% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.4%
Under: 44.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 60.9%
No Goal: 39.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 19, 2025
Nurnberg vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.7% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 31.2% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.5%
No Goal: 47.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Karlsruhe vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.4% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 29.2% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.2%
Under: 48.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.9%
No Goal: 40.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Paderborn vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 55.1% (Paderborn)
Draw: 25.7%
Away Win: 19.2% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.9%
Under: 49.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 7
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Bochum vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.0% (Bochum)
Draw: 31.0%
Away Win: 28.9% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.2%
No Goal: 49.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 18, 2025
Preußen Münster vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 40.8% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 29.7%
Away Win: 29.5% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.1%
Under: 44.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.3%
No Goal: 44.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 17, 2025
Hannover vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.1% (Hannover)
Draw: 28.0%
Away Win: 22.0% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 45.4%
Under: 54.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 17, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 39.2% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 30.8%
Away Win: 30.0% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 48.9%
Under: 51.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 49.8%
No Goal: 50.2%
Predicted: No Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 05, 2025
Magdeburg vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.0% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 35.8% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.9%
Under: 49.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.6%
No Goal: 45.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
October 05, 2025
Greuther Furth vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 27.3% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 27.6%
Away Win: 45.1% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.5%
No Goal: 42.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 05, 2025
Bielefeld vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.4% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 31.2% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.5%
Under: 48.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.4%
No Goal: 47.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Holstein Kiel vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 34.6% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.9%
Under: 53.1%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.2%
No Goal: 47.8%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Hertha vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.5% (Hertha)
Draw: 31.3%
Away Win: 31.2% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.5%
Under: 50.5%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.9%
No Goal: 47.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
October 04, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.5% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 28.2%
Away Win: 30.4% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.0%
Under: 47.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 52.1%
No Goal: 47.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal