2. Bundesliga 2025-2026 Season Accuracy

2025–26 was scored retrospectively as a model-validation season — live weekly predictions begin with 2026–27.

47.9%
Final Result Accuracy
53.6%
Under/Over 2.5 Accuracy
61.3%
Goal/No Goal Accuracy
73.6%
Double Chance Accuracy
November 30, 2025
Elversberg vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 47.6% (Elversberg)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 23.3% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.0%
Under: 48.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.9%
No Goal: 40.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 30, 2025
Dresden vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.6% (Dresden)
Draw: 31.2%
Away Win: 32.2% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.8%
Under: 49.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.0%
No Goal: 47.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 30, 2025
Bielefeld vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 41.0% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 29.2%
Away Win: 29.9% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.4%
Under: 47.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.3%
No Goal: 46.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 29, 2025
Magdeburg vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.5% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 30.9%
Away Win: 32.6% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.1%
Under: 46.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.9%
No Goal: 46.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 29, 2025
Holstein Kiel vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.8% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 30.7% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 46.4%
Under: 53.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.0%
No Goal: 49.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 29, 2025
Greuther Furth vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.2% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 28.3%
Away Win: 37.5% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.8%
Under: 44.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.3%
No Goal: 41.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 29, 2025
Braunschweig vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 26.8% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 26.2%
Away Win: 47.0% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.5%
Under: 45.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 59.5%
No Goal: 40.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 28, 2025
Schalke 04 vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.1% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 31.8%
Away Win: 33.2% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 44.0%
Under: 56.0%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.8%
No Goal: 46.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 28, 2025
Hannover vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 48.6% (Hannover)
Draw: 26.6%
Away Win: 24.8% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.7%
Under: 44.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.9%
No Goal: 41.1%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 23, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Holstein Kiel
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 31.8% (Holstein Kiel)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.6%
Under: 48.4%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.0%
No Goal: 44.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 23, 2025
Karlsruhe vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 30.4% (Karlsruhe)
Draw: 29.3%
Away Win: 40.3% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.9%
Under: 45.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.8%
No Goal: 41.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 23, 2025
Nurnberg vs Bielefeld
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.2% (Nurnberg)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 32.4% (Bielefeld)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.7%
Under: 50.3%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.1%
No Goal: 45.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 22, 2025
Darmstadt vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 60.9% (Darmstadt)
Draw: 23.0%
Away Win: 16.2% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 54.8%
Under: 45.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.4%
No Goal: 44.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 6
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 22, 2025
Preußen Münster vs Schalke 04
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.5% (Preußen Münster)
Draw: 30.5%
Away Win: 37.0% (Schalke 04)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.4%
Under: 50.6%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.8%
No Goal: 49.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 0
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 22, 2025
Paderborn vs Hannover
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 49.8% (Paderborn)
Draw: 26.5%
Away Win: 23.7% (Hannover)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 56.0%
Under: 44.0%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 62.4%
No Goal: 37.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 22, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 37.7% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 31.1%
Away Win: 31.1% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.2%
Under: 49.8%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 21, 2025
Hertha vs Braunschweig
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 56.4% (Hertha)
Draw: 24.4%
Away Win: 19.2% (Braunschweig)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.4%
Under: 46.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.5%
No Goal: 48.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 21, 2025
Bochum vs Dresden
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.5% (Bochum)
Draw: 30.6%
Away Win: 30.8% (Dresden)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.8%
Under: 49.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 09, 2025
Braunschweig vs Bochum
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 32.9% (Braunschweig)
Draw: 28.4%
Away Win: 38.6% (Bochum)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 53.3%
Under: 46.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 54.3%
No Goal: 45.7%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 09, 2025
Holstein Kiel vs Fortuna Dusseldorf
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 50.6% (Holstein Kiel)
Draw: 27.9%
Away Win: 21.4% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.4%
Under: 49.6%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 51.8%
No Goal: 48.2%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 09, 2025
Magdeburg vs Paderborn
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 25.8% (Magdeburg)
Draw: 27.2%
Away Win: 47.0% (Paderborn)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 49.2%
Under: 50.8%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.1%
No Goal: 44.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 08, 2025
Kaiserslautern vs Hertha
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 38.4% (Kaiserslautern)
Draw: 31.4%
Away Win: 30.3% (Hertha)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 52.1%
Under: 47.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.7%
No Goal: 44.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 08, 2025
Schalke 04 vs Elversberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.8% (Schalke 04)
Draw: 31.5%
Away Win: 32.7% (Elversberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.8%
Under: 49.2%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.6%
No Goal: 42.4%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 08, 2025
Hannover vs Darmstadt
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 42.3% (Hannover)
Draw: 30.0%
Away Win: 27.7% (Darmstadt)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.1%
Under: 48.9%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.1%
No Goal: 46.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 5
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 08, 2025
Bielefeld vs Karlsruhe
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 34.8% (Bielefeld)
Draw: 29.9%
Away Win: 35.4% (Karlsruhe)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.3%
Under: 48.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 56.1%
No Goal: 43.9%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 4
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 07, 2025
Greuther Furth vs Preußen Münster
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.0% (Greuther Furth)
Draw: 28.8%
Away Win: 35.2% (Preußen Münster)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.5%
Under: 44.5%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 57.7%
No Goal: 42.3%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 1
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 07, 2025
Dresden vs Nurnberg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 35.0% (Dresden)
Draw: 30.2%
Away Win: 34.8% (Nurnberg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 51.9%
Under: 48.1%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 53.4%
No Goal: 46.6%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Away
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 02, 2025
Fortuna Dusseldorf vs Kaiserslautern
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 33.3% (Fortuna Dusseldorf)
Draw: 29.6%
Away Win: 37.1% (Kaiserslautern)
Predicted Result: Away
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 50.7%
Under: 49.3%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 55.0%
No Goal: 45.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Draw
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal
November 02, 2025
Bochum vs Magdeburg
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 36.9% (Bochum)
Draw: 31.6%
Away Win: 31.5% (Magdeburg)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 47.8%
Under: 52.2%
Predicted: Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 50.5%
No Goal: 49.5%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 2
Under 2.5
Goal/No Goal: No Goal
November 02, 2025
Paderborn vs Greuther Furth
Match Result Prediction
Probabilities:
Home Win: 77.3% (Paderborn)
Draw: 14.1%
Away Win: 8.5% (Greuther Furth)
Predicted Result: Home
Goals Prediction
Over/Under 2.5 Goals:
Over: 55.3%
Under: 44.7%
Predicted: Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal Prediction
Goal/No Goal:
Goal: 58.0%
No Goal: 42.0%
Predicted: Goal
Actual Results
Match Result: Home
Total Goals: 3
Over 2.5
Goal/No Goal: Goal