Umag Croatia Clay Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Rank: #1000
45%
VS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #59
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranking Trends

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

  • Current Rank: #1000 (None)
  • 3 Months Ago: #1000 (None)
  • 6 Months Ago: #288 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #288 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #179 (2024-07-22)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Current Rank: #59 (2025-07-14)
  • 3 Months Ago: #59 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #94 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #105 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #96 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Pablo Llamas Ruiz

Form Index: 61.1
ELO Rating: 411.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 370.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.0
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 1.6
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 86.3

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 52.8
ELO Rating: 791.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 152.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 89.0

Recent Matches

Pablo Llamas Ruiz
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Terence Atmane (2-0) clay Umag 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-0) clay Umag 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Andrea Pellegrino (2-0) clay Umag 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Kyrian Jacquet (2-1) clay Umag 138 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer (1-2) clay Bastad 154 min

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Francesco Passaro (2-1) clay Umag 152 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (0-2) clay Bastad 112 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Filip Misolic (2-0) clay Bastad 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (2-1) clay Bastad 170 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Cristian Garin (2-0) clay Bastad 123 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
vs
0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Umag tournament in Croatia will see Pablo Llamas Ruiz face off against Camilo Ugo Carabelli on clay. With a slight edge in the probability of victory, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is predicted to win with a 55.14% chance, while Pablo Llamas Ruiz stands at 44.86%. The match is anticipated to be competitive, with a predicted total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Pablo Llamas Ruiz currently holds a rank of 1000, while Camilo Ugo Carabelli is significantly higher at rank 59, highlighting a substantial experience gap. Llamas Ruiz has a form index of 61.13 compared to Carabelli’s 52.76, which indicates that Llamas Ruiz has been in slightly better recent form. Elo ratings further illustrate this disparity, with Llamas Ruiz at 411.82 and Carabelli at 791.00, showcasing Carabelli's established performance level. Fatigue levels are also noteworthy; Llamas Ruiz has accumulated 370 minutes on court, compared to Carabelli's 152 minutes, which could impact Llamas Ruiz’s performance. In terms of their playing styles, Llamas Ruiz boasts a mean serve index of 95.91, slightly ahead of Carabelli's 95.08, but the difference is not significant. However, Carabelli has a superior mean return index of 88.96 compared to Llamas Ruiz's 86.30, indicating a stronger capability to capitalize on opponents' serves. In their recent performances, Llamas Ruiz has won his last three matches convincingly, while Carabelli has had mixed results, winning two out of his last three matches with one loss, which included a competitive match that went to three sets.

Final Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli's overall experience, higher ranking, and better fatigue status give him a notable advantage in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Carabelli’s return game, as his superior return index may prove critical in dictating the pace of the match.