Cristian Garin

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1590 · #114 Hard #147 Clay #98 Grass #89 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

163-140 53.8% in 303 matches

Clay 96-71
Grass 21-13
Hard 46-56

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 23 10-13 1573 1629 1590
2025 26 12-14 1538 1680 1535
2024 26 12-14 1571 1628 1529
2023 48 30-18 1562 1793 1687
2022 36 17-19 1735 1870 1753
2021 37 20-17 1718 1927 1733
2020 27 18-9 1629 1783 1724
2019 54 31-23 1565 1776 1731
2018 8 4-4 1516 1633 1523
2017 8 4-4 1525 1620 1571
2016 5 3-2 1515 1555 1545
2015 5 2-3 1520 1535 1473

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Toby Samuel L 1-1
Elias Ymer W 2-0
Spencer Johnson W 2-1
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Learner Tien L 1-3
May 17, 2026 Hamburg · Clay Henri Squire L 1-2
May 06, 2026 Rome · Clay Alejandro Davidovich Fokina L 0-2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo W 2-0
Jan Choinski W 2-1
Moez Echargui W 2-0
Apr 22, 2026 Madrid · Clay Alexander Blockx L 1-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Cristian Garin?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 4.9 actual vs 5.3 projected
- our average miss per match
- baseline average miss (last five matches)
- accuracy edge over the baseline

Not enough matches with a baseline in 2025 for a fair comparison. The chart still shows every match we projected.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Cristian Garin follow the script?

On serve · 2024
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2024 bt 17 8-9 47.1% 9 vs 6.9 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Cristian Garin's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/cristian-garin">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)