Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
58-80 42.0% in 138 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 38 | 15-23 | 1603 | 1656 | 1517 |
| 2025 | 50 | 23-27 | 1562 | 1701 | 1571 |
| 2024 | 21 | 7-14 | 1544 | 1620 | 1409 |
| 2023 | 16 | 8-8 | 1545 | 1584 | 1493 |
| 2022 | 9 | 3-6 | 1530 | 1602 | 1489 |
| 2021 | 4 | 2-2 | 1512 | 1544 | 1511 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 07, 2026 | Shanghai · Hard | Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 1-2 |
| Ilia Simakin | W 2-1 | ||
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tokio · Hard | Rinky Hijikata | L 0-2 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Chengdu · Hard | Federico Cina | L 0-2 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Us Open · Hard | Jan-Lennard Struff | L 0-3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cincinnati · Hard | Miomir Kecmanovic | L 0-2 |
| Aug 02, 2026 | Toronto · Hard | Cameron Norrie | L 0-2 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Estoril · Clay | Titouan Droguet | L 1-2 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Umag · Clay | Roman Andres Burruchaga | L 1-2 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | W 2-1 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Comparison covers 39 of the 44 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Camilo Ugo Carabelli follow the script?
On serve · 2026| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 37 | 15-22 | 64.9% | 13 vs 15.3 exp | On serve |
| 2025 | 44 | 19-25 | 52.3% | 21 vs 17.7 exp | On serve |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/camilo-ugo-carabelli">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)