Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Carlos Taberner vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction

Carlos Taberner

Rank: #139
37%
VS

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #80
63%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Kovacevic

Player Metrics

Carlos Taberner

Form Index: 55.5
ELO Rating: 346.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1521.2
Minutes Played in Current Tournament: 133.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.6
Clay: 3.3
Grass: 2.5
Serve Rating: 93.6
Return Rating: 86.9

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 32.7
ELO Rating: 684.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.6
Clay: 5.2
Grass: 5.2
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 85.1

Recent Matches

Carlos Taberner

  • Last Match: vs Jaime Faria (1-0) clay Rome 29 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-1) clay Rome 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Edward Winter (2-0) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (1-2) clay Bucharest 160 min

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Madrid 146 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) clay Houston 140 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Corentin Denolly (2-0) clay Houston 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) clay Houston 98 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (0-2) hard Miami 91 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Carlos Taberner
vs
0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Carlos Taberner and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Round of 128 at the Rome Masters 1000 promises to be competitive, particularly given the clay surface which can favor different playing styles. Aleksandar Kovacevic is predicted to win with a probability of 63.26%, while Carlos Taberner has a 36.74% chance of victory. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is estimated to be 22.

Match Analysis

Carlos Taberner, currently ranked 139, has a form index of 55.50 and an Elo rating of 346.75. His cumulative fatigue stands at 133 minutes, indicating he has been more active recently. Taberner’s surface strength index is 3.34, while his mean serve index is 93.58 and mean return index is 86.94. In contrast, Aleksandar Kovacevic, ranked 80, has a significantly higher Elo rating of 684.89 and a surface strength index of 5.19. His mean serve index of 96.60 and mean return index of 85.08 reflect a solid serving capability. The difference in their mean serve indices suggests a notable advantage for Kovacevic, which could play a crucial role in the match. Looking at recent performances, Taberner has secured two wins in his last three matches, including a victory over Adrian Mannarino in Rome, while his only loss came in a hard court match at the Australian Open. Conversely, Kovacevic has struggled lately, losing his last two matches in the Madrid and Houston tournaments, although he did manage a win in the earlier round against Corentin Denolly. This recent form may contribute to a psychological edge for Taberner, despite Kovacevic's higher ranking.

Final Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic's higher ranking, Elo rating, and serve index provide him with a clear advantage going into this match, particularly given the clay surface where serving can be pivotal. A key factor to observe will be how effectively Taberner can return Kovacevic's serves, as this could influence the overall dynamics of the match.