Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Federico Agustin Gomez Prediction

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Rank: #80
73%
VS

Federico Agustin Gomez

Rank: #140
27%
Expected Total Games: 37.0
Predicted Winner: Aleksandar Kovacevic

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Ranking Trends

Aleksandar Kovacevic

  • Current #80 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #85 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #97 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #76 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #87 2024-05-27

Federico Agustin Gomez

  • Current #140 2025-05-05
  • 3 mo ago #135 2025-02-24
  • 6 mo ago #138 2024-11-25
  • 9 mo ago #182 2024-08-26
  • 12 mo ago #312 2024-05-27

Player Metrics

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Form Index: 44.1
ELO Rating: 660.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.4
Clay: 4.8
Grass: 4.8
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 85.5

Federico Agustin Gomez

Form Index: 53.4
ELO Rating: 323.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1480.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.3
Clay: 3.6
Grass: 4.1
Serve Rating: 93.6
Return Rating: 84.8

Recent Matches

Aleksandar Kovacevic
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Federico Agustin Gomez
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Giulio Zeppieri (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Martin Landaluce (1-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mae Malige (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (1-2) clay Rome 155 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jenson Brooksby (1-2) clay Houston 158 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Aleksandar Kovacevic
vs
0
Federico Agustin Gomez
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros 2025, Aleksandar Kovacevic faces Federico Agustin Gomez on clay. With a predicted win probability of 72.76% for Kovacevic compared to 27.24% for Gomez, the match is expected to feature a total of approximately 37 games.

Match Analysis

Aleksandar Kovacevic, currently ranked 80, exhibits a solid form index of 44.14 and an Elo rating of 660.56. His performance on clay is bolstered by a surface strength index of 4.76 and a mean serve index of 98.04, which is significantly higher than Gomez's mean serve index of 93.56, creating a notable difference of over 5 points. In contrast, Federico Agustin Gomez, ranked 140, shows a form index of 53.44 and a much lower Elo rating of 323.48. His cumulative fatigue of 522 minutes indicates that he has spent considerable time on court in the current tournament, which could hinder his performance. In their recent matchups, Kovacevic has displayed mixed results, losing to Alexander Zverev but securing victories against Vitaliy Sachko and Max Wiskandt. He has shown resilience on clay, managing to win two sets in those matches. Conversely, Gomez's last match resulted in a loss to Giulio Zeppieri, although he did achieve a victory against Martin Landaluce in a closely contested encounter. His other win was against Mae Malige, where he won decisively, further indicating his potential.

Final Prediction

Kovacevic's higher ranking, better serve index, and lower fatigue levels provide him with a distinct advantage in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Kovacevic's ability to leverage his serve effectively, which could set the tone for the match and challenge Gomez's return game.

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