Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 64

Henrique Rocha vs Jakub Mensik Prediction

Henrique Rocha

Rank: #195
19%
VS

Jakub Mensik

Rank: #21
81%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Jakub Mensik

Ranking Trends

Henrique Rocha

  • Current Rank: #195 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #159 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #173 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #164 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #203 (2024-05-27)

Jakub Mensik

  • Current Rank: #21 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #54 (2025-02-24)
  • 6 Months Ago: #48 (2024-11-25)
  • 9 Months Ago: #65 (2024-08-26)
  • 12 Months Ago: #76 (2024-05-27)

Player Metrics

Henrique Rocha

Form Index: 79.4
ELO Rating: 491.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.3
Clay: 3.9
Grass: 2.9
Serve Rating: 94.2
Return Rating: 85.5

Jakub Mensik

Form Index: 65.4
ELO Rating: 1689.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1643.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 10.9
Grass: 7.9
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Henrique Rocha
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Luca Van Assche (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Barrios Vera (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (1-2) clay Marrakech 157 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Gigante (0-2) hard Australian Open 174 min

Jakub Mensik
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Hubert Hurkacz (1-2) clay Rome 179 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Rome 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Gigante (2-0) clay Rome 102 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (1-2) clay Madrid 131 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Henrique Rocha
vs
0
Jakub Mensik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the 2025 Roland Garros, held in France on clay courts, Jakub Mensik is set to face Henrique Rocha. Mensik is heavily favored to win, with an 80.85% probability of victory compared to Rocha's 19.15%. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 36.

Match Analysis

Jakub Mensik, currently ranked 21, boasts a significantly higher Elo rating of 1689.38 compared to Henrique Rocha's 491.53. Mensik's form index of 65.43 and surface strength index of 10.92 further highlight his capabilities on clay, while Rocha's form index is at 79.42, which, despite being high, is overshadowed by Mensik's overall performance metrics. Fatigue levels also play a critical role; Rocha has accumulated 522 minutes on court during this tournament, considerably more than Mensik's 174 minutes. This disparity might impact Rocha's performance as he faces a fresher opponent. When examining recent performances, Rocha has demonstrated resilience by winning his last three matches at Roland Garros, including victories against Nikoloz Basilashvili and Luca Van Assche. However, Mensik's recent 3-1 win over Alexandre Muller shows his capability to compete effectively, despite a setback against Hubert Hurkacz in Rome. The difference in mean serve index—Mensik at 96.23 compared to Rocha's 94.23—and the mean return index—Mensik at 87.64 against Rocha's 85.48—further emphasize Mensik's advantage in both serving and returning aspects of the game.

Final Prediction

Jakub Mensik's combination of a higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and fresher legs positions him as the clear favorite in this match against Henrique Rocha. The key factor to watch will be Mensik's ability to capitalize on his serve and return strength, which could prove decisive in securing an early advantage in games.