Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 64

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Shintaro Mochizuki

Rank: #112
16%
VS

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #8
84%
Predicted Games Played: 34.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

Player Metrics

Shintaro Mochizuki

Form Index: 81.7
ELO Rating: 545.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1572.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 4.2
Grass: 3.9
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 90.4

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 44.6
ELO Rating: 2589.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1788.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.4
Clay: 27.1
Grass: 28.5
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Shintaro Mochizuki

  • Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-0) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roman Andres Burruchaga (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jurij Rodionov (2-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (0-2) hard Cincinnati 121 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Facundo Bagnis (2-1) hard Cincinnati 115 min

Alex de Minaur

  • Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) hard Cincinnati 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) hard Toronto 144 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) hard Toronto 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) hard Washington 104 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Shintaro Mochizuki
vs
0
Alex de Minaur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The US Open, one of the premier Grand Slam tournaments, is currently taking place on hard courts in New York, USA. In the Round of 64, Shintaro Mochizuki faces off against Alex de Minaur. The predicted winner is Alex de Minaur, with an 83.73% probability of victory compared to Mochizuki's 16.27%. The match is expected to feature a total of 34 games.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 112, Shintaro Mochizuki comes into this match with a form index of 81.74 and an Elo rating of 545.10. Despite a solid performance in his previous matches at the US Open, where he won all three, he has accumulated significant fatigue of 522 minutes on court. His surface strength index is relatively low at 4.23, but he showcases a competitive mean serve index of 94.72 and a mean return index of 90.39. Notably, there is a minimal difference in mean serve and return indices compared to de Minaur. On the other hand, Alex de Minaur, ranked 8, brings a wealth of experience and skill into the match, despite a recent dip in form reflected in a 44.55 form index. His Elo rating stands significantly higher at 2589.78, indicating a strong competitive edge. De Minaur has no cumulative fatigue, having played fewer minutes in the tournament thus far. His surface strength index is notably higher at 20.43, and he possesses a mean serve index of 94.44 and a mean return index of 88.26. The difference in their mean return indices is closer than 5 points, suggesting that both players are adept in returning serves.

Final Prediction

Alex de Minaur's higher ranking, superior Elo rating, and lack of fatigue give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. His experience and skill on hard courts are pivotal factors that are likely to influence the outcome. Observers should pay close attention to de Minaur's service games, as his ability to maintain pressure with effective serving could set the tone for the match.