Ben Shelton

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1944 · #7 Hard #4 Clay #33 Grass #6 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

143-87 62.2% in 230 matches

Clay 25-21
Grass 18-13
Hard 100-53

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 50 36-14 1896 2005 1944
2025 59 38-21 1733 2049 1900
2024 64 40-24 1714 1903 1826
2023 49 25-24 1558 1958 1902
2022 6 3-3 1505 1605 1568
2021 2 1-1 1500 1547 1526

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Denis Shapovalov W 3-1
Hubert Hurkacz W 3-1
Tallon Griekspoor W 3-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Jaime Faria L 0-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Brandon Nakashima W 2-0
Learner Tien W 2-0
Jakub Mensik W 2-0
Joao Fonseca W 2-0
Zizou Bergs W 2-0
Jenson Brooksby W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Ben Shelton?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 9.6 actual vs 9.5 projected
3.74 our average miss per match
4.11 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+9% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 54 of the 59 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Ben Shelton follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 50 36-14 68.0% 16 vs 16.6 exp On serve
2025 59 38-21 72.9% 16 vs 20.9 exp On serve
2024 bt 64 40-24 68.8% 20 vs 24.5 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Ben Shelton's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/ben-shelton">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)