Reilly Opelka

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1580 · #121 Hard #40 Clay #621 Grass #69 Last match: May 24, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

142-136 51.1% in 278 matches

Clay 24-31
Grass 14-18
Hard 104-87

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 14 6-8 1586 1699 1580
2025 53 29-24 1534 1733 1663
2024 14 5-9 1501 1564 1481
2022 32 19-13 1694 1857 1666
2021 42 21-21 1640 1905 1795
2020 16 9-7 1624 1783 1653
2019 53 31-22 1556 1777 1753
2018 12 4-8 1523 1535 1462
2017 24 10-14 1527 1653 1520
2016 15 7-8 1500 1619 1573
2015 3 1-2 1500 1533 1495

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Federico Cina L 2-3
Apr 22, 2026 Madrid · Clay Nicolai Budkov Kjaer L 0-0
Apr 13, 2026 Barcelona · Clay Ethan Quinn L 0-2
Mar 18, 2026 Miami · Hard Taylor Fritz L 0-2
Jack Draper W 2-0
Nuno Borges W 2-1
Mar 04, 2026 Indian Wells · Hard Ben Shelton L 1-2
Ethan Quinn W 2-0
Jan 18, 2026 Australian Open · Hard Alejandro Davidovich Fokina L 2-3
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer W 3-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Reilly Opelka?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 16.1 actual vs 13.2 projected
5.96 our average miss per match
6.77 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+12% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 41 of the 46 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Reilly Opelka follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 46 24-22 65.2% 16 vs 18.3 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Reilly Opelka's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/reilly-opelka">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)