Chengdu China Hard Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Taro Daniel vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Taro Daniel

Rank: #168
45%
VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #96
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Shevchenko

Player Metrics

Taro Daniel

Form Index: 55.9
ELO Rating: 437.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1547.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 402.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.8
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.3

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 46.7
ELO Rating: 695.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1586.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 242.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.0
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 5.7
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 89.1

Recent Matches

Taro Daniel

  • Last Match: vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-1) hard Chengdu 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Coleman Wong (2-0) hard Chengdu 81 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Billy Harris (2-0) hard Chengdu 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (2-0) hard Chengdu 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-1) hard Chengdu 134 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Gael Monfils (2-1) hard Chengdu 108 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (0-2) hard Cincinnati 93 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Tyler Zink (2-1) hard Cincinnati 155 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Taro Daniel
vs
0
Alexander Shevchenko
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match between Taro Daniel and Alexander Shevchenko at the Chengdu tournament in China is set to be a competitive encounter on hard courts. With a predicted total of 23 games played, Alexander Shevchenko is favored to win with a probability of 55.30%, while Taro Daniel has a 44.70% chance of victory.

Match Analysis

Taro Daniel currently holds a rank of 168 and has a form index of 55.92, indicating a moderate level of recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 437.60, reflecting a lower competitive standing compared to Shevchenko. Daniel's fatigue level is notably high at 402 minutes, which could impact his endurance in a longer match. His surface strength index of 4.81 suggests he may struggle on hard courts compared to Shevchenko. Conversely, Alexander Shevchenko, ranked 96, has an Elo rating of 695.86 and a form index of 46.66. His lower fatigue level of 242 minutes, combined with a surface strength index of 6.95, indicates he is better suited for this surface and likely to perform more consistently. In their recent performances, Daniel has won all three of his last matches, showcasing resilience and form, although he faced relatively less challenging opponents. His most recent victory was against Tallon Griekspoor, where he won in three sets. On the other hand, Shevchenko has also shown strong results, winning two of his last three matches, including a notable victory over Gael Monfils. His matches have generally been more competitive, requiring him to maintain a higher level of play.

Final Prediction

Shevchenko's edge stems from his higher rank, better Elo rating, and lower fatigue level, which may enhance his performance in a hard-fought match. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of his serve, as both players have similar serve indices, but Shevchenko's slightly superior return index could play a critical role in determining the match outcome.