Taro Daniel

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1511 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

160-188 46.0% in 348 matches

Clay 57-63
Grass 6-14
Hard 97-111

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 7 4-3 1513 1559 1511
2025 27 7-20 1567 1549 1422
2024 44 18-26 1574 1663 1532
2023 47 26-21 1559 1756 1637
2022 47 27-20 1558 1763 1536
2021 13 6-7 1559 1666 1604
2020 10 3-7 1550 1532 1485
2019 35 13-22 1569 1601 1498
2018 42 19-23 1558 1626 1565
2017 29 13-16 1548 1669 1554
2016 21 9-12 1560 1648 1559
2015 26 15-11 1529 1653 1607

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Andrew Johnson L 1-2
Jul 20, 2026 Estoril · Clay Kyrian Jacquet W 2-1
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo W 2-0
Jul 13, 2026 Bastad · Clay Botic van de Zandschulp L 0-2
Carlos Sanchez Jover W 2-1
Federico Coria W 2-0
May 17, 2026 Hamburg · Clay Rinky Hijikata L 1-2
Oct 13, 2025 Almaty · Hard Mikhail Kukushkin L 0-2
Oct 01, 2025 Shanghai · Hard Billy Harris L 0-2
Sep 17, 2025 Chengdu · Hard Alexander Shevchenko L 1-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Taro Daniel?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.0 actual vs 5.1 projected
- our average miss per match
- baseline average miss (last five matches)
- accuracy edge over the baseline

Not enough matches with a baseline in 2025 for a fair comparison. The chart still shows every match we projected.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Taro Daniel follow the script?

On serve · 2024
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2024 bt 33 10-23 60.6% 13 vs 11.6 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Taro Daniel's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/taro-daniel">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)