Jan-Lennard Struff

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1681 · #55 Hard #122 Clay #91 Grass #14 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

239-238 50.1% in 477 matches

Clay 91-72
Grass 32-32
Hard 116-134

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 37 17-20 1571 1774 1681
2025 40 19-21 1622 1838 1812
2024 46 27-19 1652 1929 1762
2023 44 28-16 1538 1913 1716
2022 13 2-11 1613 1572 1480
2021 35 14-21 1645 1787 1603
2020 21 10-11 1624 1782 1696
2019 60 33-27 1586 1892 1755
2018 45 22-23 1590 1763 1713
2017 59 31-28 1576 1755 1723
2016 42 24-18 1555 1757 1733
2015 35 12-23 1578 1601 1524

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Francisco Cerundolo L 2-3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli W 3-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Alejandro Tabilo L 0-2
Roman Andres Burruchaga W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Alex Michelsen L 1-2
Jul 20, 2026 Kitzbuhel · Clay Mariano Navone L 0-2
Aleksandr Shevchenko W 2-1
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Jannik Sinner L 0-3
Hubert Hurkacz W 2-2
Daniil Medvedev W 3-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Jan-Lennard Struff?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 9.4 actual vs 8.5 projected
4.22 our average miss per match
5.54 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+24% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 29 of the 34 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Jan-Lennard Struff follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 30 13-17 60.0% 12 vs 9.8 exp On serve
2025 34 14-20 47.1% 18 vs 12.8 exp Wild card
2024 bt 46 27-19 69.6% 14 vs 15.1 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Jan-Lennard Struff's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/jan-lennard-struff">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)