FC Bayern Munich
Euroleague ELO profile, season simulation & model record · 12 seasons covered
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, playoffs and Final Four included. Euroleague ELO is season-relative in our engine: every team starts each season at 0, so the value reads as a gap to that season's league average and negative numbers are normal, not a red flag. Because of the re-seed, trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position that day.
Season simulation
2026-27 season simulation
Title odds: 0.0% 15.8 projected wins · currently 2W-5L · as of 2026-10-27
Probabilities from 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining schedule (single table, play-in, best-of-five quarter-finals and the neutral-venue Final Four), refreshed daily in season.
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Missed the playoffs 17W-21L regular season
Full Euroleague simulation: every team's odds and the projected bracket →
How predictable is FC Bayern Munich?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted games season backtest
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, FC Bayern Munich was 6.4% harder to call than the Euroleague average. A team can be easy to call while losing: a predictable season is not a good season. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | Euroleague avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 1 | 0.0% | 50.0% | - |
| 2025-26 season backtest | 32 | 62.5% | 67.0% | 66.7% (league 75.8%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 FC Bayern Munich won 3 games as a clear underdog (we gave them 35% or less) and lost 2 as a clear favourite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | 7 | #17 | +14 | +14 | -65 |
| 2025-26 | 38 | #11 | -16 | +34 | +2 |
| 2024-25 | 36 | #11 | +16 | +72 | -24 |
| 2023-24 | 34 | #17 | +18 | +30 | -126 |
| 2022-23 | 34 | #17 | -34 | +2 | -122 |
| 2021-22 | 36 | #9 | -5 | +33 | +14 |
| 2020-21 | 39 | #7 | -14 | +89 | +62 |
| 2019-20 | 28 | #18 | +19 | +33 | -178 |
| 2018-19 | 30 | #12 | -39 | +4 | -60 |
| 2015-16 | 10 | #18 | -15 | +24 | -40 |
| 2014-15 | 10 | #21 | -8 | +7 | -101 |
| 2013-14 | 24 | #15 | +40 | +59 | -67 |
GP counts every Euroleague game in the corpus including the playoffs and the Final Four. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank on its last game day of that season, ranked against every team's last known rating on that date. Start, Peak and End are season-relative ELO values (each season re-seeds at 0). The "as" line appears when the team's registered name changed, which in the Euroleague usually means a new title sponsor rather than a new team.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | vs Dubai Basketball | W FC Bayern Munich 59.5% | L 91-107 ✗ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/euroleague-teams/fc-bayern-munich">Euroleague team ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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