Adelaide Australia Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Damir Dzumhur vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Damir Dzumhur

Rank: #65
45%
VS

Alexander Shevchenko

Rank: #106
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Shevchenko

Player Metrics

Damir Dzumhur

Form Index: 43.5
ELO Rating: 831.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1565.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 18.2
Clay: 21.2
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 38.5
Return Rating: 87.5

Alexander Shevchenko

Form Index: 51.8
ELO Rating: 624.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1578.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 153
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.4
Clay: 17.8
Grass: 14.6
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 96.1

Recent Matches

Damir Dzumhur

  • Last Match: vs Nuno Borges (0-2) hard Hong Kong 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) hard Paris 76 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Paris 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-1) hard Paris 95 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) hard Vienna 67 min

Alexander Shevchenko

  • Last Match: vs Filip Misolic (2-0) hard Adelaide 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Carlos Taberner (2-0) hard Adelaide 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (0-2) hard Brisbane 90 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Vitaliy Sachko (0-2) hard Metz 67 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (1-2) hard Basel 133 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Damir Dzumhur
vs
0
Alexander Shevchenko
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Damir Dzumhur and Alexander Shevchenko takes place in the Round of 32 at the Adelaide tournament, held on hard courts. The predicted winner is Alexander Shevchenko, with a 55.27% probability of victory compared to Dzumhur’s 44.73%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a projected total of 23 games played.

Match Analysis

Damir Dzumhur currently holds a ranking of 65, with a form index of 43.48 and an Elo rating of 831.75. His cumulative fatigue is at 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh heading into this match. Dzumhur's surface strength index stands at 18.19, which suggests he may struggle on hard courts. Conversely, Alexander Shevchenko is ranked 106, with a higher form index of 51.78 and a lower Elo rating of 624.18. Shevchenko’s fatigue level is at 153 minutes, reflecting a more demanding tournament thus far. His surface strength index is slightly better at 20.43. Notably, Shevchenko has a significantly superior mean serve index of 97.46 compared to Dzumhur's 38.51, indicating a major advantage in serving ability. In their recent performances, Dzumhur has faced challenges, losing his last two matches against Nuno Borges and Francisco Cerundolo, both in straight sets. He did, however, secure a win against Aleksandar Kovacevic in his third most recent match. On the other hand, Shevchenko has shown promising form, winning his last two matches against Filip Misolic and Carlos Taberner convincingly, both in straight sets, before suffering a loss to Raphael Collignon in Brisbane.

Final Prediction

Shevchenko holds the edge in this matchup due to his higher serve efficiency and recent positive form, having won two consecutive matches in the same tournament. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Shevchenko’s serve, which could prove pivotal in securing his victory against Dzumhur.