Nuno Borges

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1735 · #41 Hard #44 Clay #48 Grass #30 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

100-95 51.3% in 195 matches

Clay 36-28
Grass 11-13
Hard 53-54

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 47 25-22 1612 1798 1735
2025 53 26-27 1637 1762 1668
2024 49 26-23 1580 1801 1715
2023 27 10-17 1551 1598 1474
2022 15 10-5 1535 1713 1668
2021 4 3-1 1510 1566 1553

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Learner Tien L 0-3
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Brandon Nakashima L 1-2
Andrey Rublev W 2-0
Francisco Cerundolo W 2-0
Thanasi Kokkinakis W 2-1
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Luciano Darderi L 1-2
Yannick Hanfmann W 2-0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry W 2-0
Aleksandar Kovacevic W 2-1
Jul 20, 2026 Estoril · Clay Roman Andres Burruchaga L 1-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Nuno Borges?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.9 actual vs 5.6 projected
2.89 our average miss per match
3.68 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+22% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 48 of the 53 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Nuno Borges follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 47 25-22 68.1% 15 vs 18.3 exp On serve
2025 53 26-27 60.4% 21 vs 21.6 exp On serve
2024 bt 47 24-23 68.1% 15 vs 17.6 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Nuno Borges's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/nuno-borges">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)