Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

David Goffin vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

David Goffin

Rank: #60
52%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #75
48%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: David Goffin

Player Metrics

David Goffin

Form Index: 30.4
ELO Rating: 980.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1558.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.5
Clay: 8.6
Grass: 7.7
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 89.4

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 23.3
ELO Rating: 597.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1509.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.0

Recent Matches

David Goffin

  • Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (1-2) clay Gstaad 127 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Martin Landaluce (2-0) clay Gstaad 120 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Rinky Hijikata (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-2) clay Madrid 99 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Munich 75 min

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (1-2) hard Los Cabos 182 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alan Magadan (2-0) hard Los Cabos 124 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Mallorca 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Henry Searle (0-2) grass London 113 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
David Goffin
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The first-round matchup between David Goffin and Yunchaokete Bu at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, DC, promises to be an exciting contest on hard courts. David Goffin is slightly favored to win, with a probability of 51.81%, while Yunchaokete Bu is close behind at 48.19%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

David Goffin comes into this match ranked 60th with a form index of 30.38, indicating a moderate level of recent performance. His Elo rating stands at 980.19, which reflects his competitive standing. Goffin showcases a solid surface strength index of 11.46 and a mean serve index of 96.89, both of which suggest he is well-equipped for hard court play. In contrast, Yunchaokete Bu is ranked 75th, possessing a lower form index of 23.33 and an Elo rating of 597.40, indicating he is relatively less experienced at this level. Bu has a surface strength index of 7.72 and a mean serve index of 96.11, which demonstrates that while he can deliver effective serves, he may struggle against Goffin's stronger return game, as Goffin's mean return index of 89.36 exceeds Bu's by over 3 points. In their recent performances, Goffin has struggled to find his footing, losing two of his last three matches, including a challenging match against Juan Manuel Cerundolo in Gstaad. On the other hand, Bu managed to secure a victory in his match against Alan Magadan but also lost to Emilio Nava in Los Cabos, showcasing an inconsistency that Goffin might exploit. Both players have shown signs of fatigue, but Goffin's recent matches have been slightly less taxing in terms of cumulative minutes on court.

Final Prediction

Goffin's edge in experience, combined with his superior return game, positions him as the likely winner in this closely matched encounter. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Goffin can leverage his strong return index to break Bu's serve, potentially dictating the pace of the match.