Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Emilio Nava vs Yunchaokete Bu Prediction

Emilio Nava

Rank: #119
45%
VS

Yunchaokete Bu

Rank: #71
55%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Yunchaokete Bu

Ranking Trends

Emilio Nava

  • Current Rank: #119 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #140 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #211 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #208 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #148 (2024-07-15)

Yunchaokete Bu

  • Current Rank: #71 (2025-06-30)
  • 3 Months Ago: #64 (2025-04-14)
  • 6 Months Ago: #67 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #73 (2024-10-14)
  • 12 Months Ago: #174 (2024-07-15)

Player Metrics

Emilio Nava

Form Index: 48.4
ELO Rating: 350.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1540.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 101.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.7
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.0

Yunchaokete Bu

Form Index: 23.0
ELO Rating: 626.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1514.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 124.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.5
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 86.1

Recent Matches

Emilio Nava
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-0) hard Los Cabos 101 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Dominic Stricker (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Mitchell Krueger (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Holger Rune (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Yunchaokete Bu
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Alan Magadan (2-0) hard Los Cabos 124 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Laslo Djere (0-2) grass Mallorca 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Henry Searle (0-2) grass London 113 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Filip Misolic (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Emilio Nava
vs
0
Yunchaokete Bu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Los Cabos tournament in Mexico, Emilio Nava faces Yunchaokete Bu on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Bu slightly favored to win, boasting a 54.80% probability compared to Nava's 45.20%. The predicted total number of games played is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Emilio Nava, currently ranked 119, has a form index of 48.44 and an Elo rating of 350.70. His cumulative fatigue from the current tournament stands at 101 minutes, indicating a moderate level of exertion. On the other hand, Yunchaokete Bu, ranked 71, has a lower form index of 22.96 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 626.63. Bu's fatigue is also higher at 124 minutes, suggesting that both players have faced considerable physical challenges. Bu has a surface strength index of 8.23, compared to Nava's 3.67, showcasing his superior performance on hard courts. Additionally, Bu's mean serve index of 96.09 is closely matched with Nava's 97.24, while their mean return indices are comparable, with Bu at 86.05 and Nava at 85.99. In their recent performances, Nava secured a solid victory over Aleksandar Vukic, winning in straight sets, which may bolster his confidence. However, prior to that, he faced a tough loss at Wimbledon, indicating some inconsistency. Bu, conversely, also won his last match against Alan Magadan convincingly, although he struggled in his previous two matches, reflecting a mixed bag of results.

Final Prediction

Yunchaokete Bu holds an edge due to his higher Elo rating and better surface strength, which is crucial on hard courts. The key factor to watch will be how both players manage their fatigue levels, as this could significantly influence the match's intensity and outcome.