Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

Gael Monfils vs Yibing Wu Prediction

Gael Monfils

Rank: #48
63%
VS

Yibing Wu

Rank: #243
37%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Gael Monfils

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Gael Monfils

  • Current #48 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #42 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #41 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #52 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #30 2024-07-22

Yibing Wu

  • Current #243 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #448 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #410 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #404 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #508 2024-07-22

Player Metrics

Gael Monfils

Form Index: 43.7
ELO Rating: 1336.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1615.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.8
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 9.2
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.0

Yibing Wu

Form Index: 56.3
ELO Rating: 275.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1557.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 319.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.3
Clay: 1.2
Grass: 1.2
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 86.5

Recent Matches

Gael Monfils
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Marton Fucsovics (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Humbert (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (1-2) grass Stuttgart 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Hugo Dellien (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Yibing Wu
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-1) hard Washington 167 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Mitchell Krueger (2-1) hard Washington 152 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Tristan Schoolkate (1-2) hard Los Cabos 121 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Bernard Tomic (2-0) hard Los Cabos 76 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Braden Shick (2-0) hard Los Cabos 71 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Gael Monfils
vs
0
Yibing Wu
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Washington tournament, Gael Monfils and Yibing Wu are set to face off on a hard surface. Given Monfils' solid ranking and performance metrics, he is predicted to win this match with a probability of 62.80%, while Wu has a 37.20% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Gael Monfils enters this match ranked 48th, with a form index of 43.68 and an Elo rating of 1336.60. He has shown resilience with a fatigue level of 0.0 minutes, indicating he is fresh and ready to compete. Monfils has a surface strength index of 14.80, which suggests he performs well on hard courts. His mean serve index stands at 97.02, well above Wu's 95.35, creating a differential that may impact service games. Additionally, Monfils' mean return index of 85.98 is slightly lower than Wu's 86.51, though the difference is minimal. In contrast, Yibing Wu, ranked 243rd, has a higher form index of 56.34 but carries a significant fatigue level of 319.0 minutes, which could hinder his performance. His recent results show a mixed bag, with two wins in Washington against lower-ranked opponents and one loss in Los Cabos. Monfils has faced tougher competition recently, although he has lost two out of his last three matches, including a hard-fought contest at Wimbledon.

Final Prediction

Monfils holds the advantage due to his experience, lower fatigue level, and superior serve metrics. Watch for how effectively he can exploit Wu's fatigue, particularly in the later stages of the match, which could be pivotal in determining the outcome.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel