Aleksandar Vukic vs Jenson Brooksby: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

The model's edge for Brooksby comes mainly from surface fit and recent form. Surface fit moves the needle +8.5 percentage points toward Brooksby; his surface strength index is 15.76 versus Vukic’s 14.73, a small numerical edge that the model treats as meaningful on grass. Recent form is the next largest driver (+7.5 points) — Brooksby’s recent win over Vukic at Eastbourne is part of that momentum and factors into the prediction. Head-to-head (Brooksby’s straight-sets win in their latest meeting) and a higher Elo rating (Brooksby 1496.03 vs Vukic 1462.88) add further support, while age and recent-record-by-level contribute modestly in Brooksby’s favor. Looking at the raw player data: Vukic is ranked 104 with a form index of 33.62, mean serve index 96.52 and mean return 89.97; Brooksby is ranked 81 with a form index of 25.73, mean serve index 95.17 and mean return 88.03. Neither serve nor return index differences exceed 5 points, so serve/return profiles are comparable on paper. Both arrive with zero cumulative fatigue from the tournament. In their last three matches on grass, Vukic won two (Wendelken, Stewart) then lost to Brooksby at Eastbourne; Brooksby’s recent slate includes a win over Vukic and two defeats (Humbert, Cerundolo), giving him the critical head-to-head edge.