Los Cabos Mexico Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Alibek Kachmazov vs Juan Pablo Ficovich Prediction

Alibek Kachmazov

Rank: #182
48%
VS

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Rank: #155
52%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Juan Pablo Ficovich

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Ranking Trends

Alibek Kachmazov

  • Current #182 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #183 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #195 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #198 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #255 2024-07-15

Juan Pablo Ficovich

  • Current #155 2025-06-30
  • 3 mo ago #157 2025-04-14
  • 6 mo ago #190 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #204 2024-10-14
  • 12 mo ago #220 2024-07-15

Player Metrics

Alibek Kachmazov

Form Index: 12.2
ELO Rating: 256.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1510.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.2
Clay: 2.4
Grass: 2.3
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.3

Juan Pablo Ficovich

Form Index: 56.2
ELO Rating: 337.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1518.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.9
Clay: 2.7
Grass: 2.7
Serve Rating: 92.7
Return Rating: 82.9

Recent Matches

Alibek Kachmazov
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

Juan Pablo Ficovich
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alibek Kachmazov
vs
0
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Los Cabos tournament in Mexico, Alibek Kachmazov faces Juan Pablo Ficovich on hard courts. The match is expected to be competitive, with Ficovich slightly favored to win, possessing a 51.73% probability of victory compared to Kachmazov's 48.27%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 22.0.

Match Analysis

Alibek Kachmazov, currently ranked 182, has a form index of 12.16 and an Elo rating of 256.73. His surface strength index is relatively strong at 4.18, and he demonstrates a mean serve index of 95.85, indicating a solid serving capability. However, his mean return index is 86.29, which is notably better than Ficovich's 82.90. Meanwhile, Juan Pablo Ficovich ranks 155, showcasing a much higher form index of 56.24 and an Elo rating of 337.16. Both players have not accumulated fatigue in the tournament thus far, which suggests they are physically prepared for the match. Reviewing their recent performances, Kachmazov has struggled, losing his last three matches without securing a win, including notable defeats at Wimbledon and Roland Garros. In contrast, Ficovich has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches at Wimbledon, where he performed well against Oliver Bonding and Carlos Taberner. Despite a recent loss to Nikoloz Basilashvili, his overall form appears more promising than Kachmazov's.

Final Prediction

Juan Pablo Ficovich's higher rank, superior form index, and recent competitive performances provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be the effectiveness of Kachmazov’s serve against Ficovich’s return, as any significant breaks could sway the momentum in this closely matched contest.

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