Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 128

Lorenzo Sonego vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego

Rank: #44
58%
VS

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Rank: #135
42%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Lorenzo Sonego

Player Metrics

Lorenzo Sonego

Form Index: 29.2
ELO Rating: 1037.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.8
Minutes Played in Current Tournament: 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 9.2
Grass: 8.7
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 84.8

Roman Andres Burruchaga

Form Index: 48.0
ELO Rating: 387.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1535.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 282.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 2.7
Clay: 5.0
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 90.2

Recent Matches

Lorenzo Sonego

  • Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) clay Madrid 75 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) clay Madrid 123 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Pedro Martinez (1-2) clay Monte Carlo 133 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) clay Marrakech 162 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Miami 108 min

Roman Andres Burruchaga

  • Last Match: vs Pablo Carreno Busta (2-1) clay Rome 140 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Daniel Elahi Galan (2-1) clay Rome 142 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Vit Kopriva (1-2) clay Madrid 172 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (1-2) clay Santiago 159 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Kilian Feldbausch (2-1) clay Santiago 154 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Lorenzo Sonego
vs
0
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The match between Lorenzo Sonego and Roman Andres Burruchaga is set to take place at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome. With both players competing on clay, Sonego is predicted to emerge victorious with a win probability of 57.71%, while Burruchaga stands at 42.29%. A total of approximately 23 games is expected to be played during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Lorenzo Sonego, currently ranked 44, boasts a form index of 29.23 and an Elo rating of 1037.47. He has a cumulative fatigue of 0 minutes, indicating he is fresh heading into this match. Sonego’s surface strength index of 9.24 reflects his relatively solid performance on clay, complemented by a mean serve index of 97.81 and a mean return index of 84.76. In contrast, Roman Andres Burruchaga holds a rank of 135 with a higher form index of 47.96 but a significantly lower Elo rating of 387.81. His fatigue level stands at 282 minutes, suggesting that he may be feeling the effects of his previous matches. Burruchaga's surface strength index is lower at 5.00, although his mean serve index of 94.71 is competitive, and his mean return index of 90.23 indicates a strong return game. Notably, Sonego's mean serve index exceeds Burruchaga's by over 3 points, while Burruchaga's mean return index is 5.46 points higher than Sonego’s. In their recent performances, Sonego has faced a tough time, losing two out of his last three matches, including a recent defeat to Alex de Minaur. However, he managed a victory against Miomir Kecmanovic, suggesting potential for resurgence. Burruchaga, on the other hand, is in better form, winning his last two matches in Rome after a previous loss in Madrid, indicating he has momentum on his side.

Final Prediction

Lorenzo Sonego possesses an edge in serve and is less fatigued compared to Burruchaga, which could be crucial on the clay surface. The key factor to monitor will be Sonego's ability to handle the pressure against Burruchaga’s strong return game, making it a compelling matchup to watch.