Lorenzo Sonego

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1605 · #98 Hard #83 Clay #161 Grass #22 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

189-200 48.6% in 389 matches

Clay 66-70
Grass 27-27
Hard 96-103

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 28 12-16 1624 1665 1605
2025 51 23-28 1603 1727 1710
2024 52 24-28 1599 1726 1685
2023 56 28-28 1595 1810 1663
2022 49 25-24 1682 1739 1704
2021 40 21-19 1659 1862 1725
2020 26 12-14 1599 1786 1754
2019 54 28-26 1555 1763 1546
2018 29 16-13 1524 1688 1600
2017 1 0-1 1516 1497 1497
2016 3 0-3 1512 1495 1458

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Alexander Zverev L 2-3
Aug 23, 2026 Winston Salem · Hard James Duckworth L 0-2
Adrian Mannarino W 2-0
Pierre-Hugues Herbert W 2-1
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Frances Tiafoe L 0-2
Juncheng Shang W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Tallon Griekspoor L 0-2
Jul 13, 2026 Gstaad · Clay Raphael Collignon L 0-2
Joel Schwaerzler W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Taylor Fritz L 1-3

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Lorenzo Sonego?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.9 actual vs 6.9 projected
3.08 our average miss per match
3.37 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+9% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 46 of the 51 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Lorenzo Sonego follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 26 11-15 69.2% 8 vs 9.2 exp On serve
2025 51 23-28 68.6% 16 vs 20.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 46 20-26 67.4% 15 vs 16.9 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Lorenzo Sonego's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/lorenzo-sonego">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)