Basel Switzerland Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Miomir Kecmanovic vs Stan Wawrinka Prediction

Miomir Kecmanovic

Rank: #52
65%
VS

Stan Wawrinka

Rank: #158
35%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Miomir Kecmanovic

Ranking Trends

Miomir Kecmanovic

  • Current Rank: #52 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #49 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #47 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #51 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #58 (2024-10-21)

Stan Wawrinka

  • Current Rank: #158 (2025-10-20)
  • 3 Months Ago: #156 (2025-07-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #158 (2025-04-21)
  • 9 Months Ago: #156 (2025-01-13)
  • 12 Months Ago: #169 (2024-10-21)

Player Metrics

Miomir Kecmanovic

Form Index: 28.0
ELO Rating: 1005.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.2
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 9.3
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 87.1

Stan Wawrinka

Form Index: 22.4
ELO Rating: 412.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1560.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.1
Clay: 3.4
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 85.6

Recent Matches

Miomir Kecmanovic
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (1-2) hard Stockholm 143 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alexandre Muller (2-0) hard Stockholm 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Learner Tien (1-2) hard Shanghai 126 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) hard Beijing 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Joao Fonseca (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min

Stan Wawrinka
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) hard Shanghai 106 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Damir Dzumhur (0-2) clay Umag 119 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Alvaro Guillen Meza (2-0) clay Umag 73 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Shevchenko (0-2) clay Gstaad 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jacob Fearnley (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Miomir Kecmanovic
vs
0
Stan Wawrinka
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the 2025 Basel tournament, Miomir Kecmanovic faces off against Stan Wawrinka on hard courts. With a predicted win probability of 64.88% for Kecmanovic compared to 35.12% for Wawrinka, the match is expected to be competitive, with a total of approximately 22 games played.

Match Analysis

Miomir Kecmanovic, currently ranked 52, holds a form index of 27.98 and an Elo rating of 1005.47, indicating solid performance metrics. His fatigue level stands at 0.0, suggesting he is well-rested. Kecmanovic also boasts a surface strength index of 9.16, a mean serve index of 96.91, and a mean return index of 87.05. The difference in mean serve index between the two players exceeds 5 points, with Wawrinka's mean serve index at 95.61. This difference may provide Kecmanovic an edge in service games. Stan Wawrinka, ranked 158, has a form index of 22.45 and an Elo rating of 412.57, reflecting a more challenging recent performance. Wawrinka's cumulative fatigue is also at 0.0, indicating no recent drain from matches. His surface strength index of 6.12 and return index of 85.55 suggest he may struggle against Kecmanovic’s stronger returning capability, as the difference in mean return index is over 5 points. In their last three matches, Kecmanovic has won one out of three, while Wawrinka has also won just one, but with more losses overall, indicating a dip in form for the latter.

Final Prediction

Kecmanovic's higher ranking, superior form index, and better performance metrics on hard courts give him a significant advantage over Wawrinka. A key factor to watch will be Kecmanovic's ability to capitalize on his stronger return game, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.