Stan Wawrinka

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1500 · #244 Hard #125 Clay #692 Grass #401 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

225-160 58.4% in 385 matches

Clay 66-51
Grass 14-16
Hard 145-93

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 19 7-12 1540 1648 1500
2025 18 4-14 1537 1522 1452
2024 25 9-16 1594 1623 1597
2023 43 24-19 1538 1816 1651
2022 24 10-14 1582 1665 1637
2021 4 1-3 1736 1759 1666
2020 20 13-7 1696 1865 1811
2019 51 33-18 1583 1921 1913
2018 27 12-15 1815 1833 1770
2017 37 26-11 2032 2080 1944
2016 53 38-15 2186 2208 2029
2015 64 48-16 2012 2244 2146

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Matteo Berrettini L 0-3
Jul 20, 2026 Estoril · Clay Roman Andres Burruchaga L 1-2
Jul 13, 2026 Gstaad · Clay Jaime Faria L 1-2
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Matteo Berrettini L 1-3
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Jesper de Jong L 1-3
May 17, 2026 Geneva · Clay Alex Michelsen L 0-2
Raul Brancaccio W 2-1
May 06, 2026 Rome · Clay Stefano Travaglia W 2-1
Apr 13, 2026 Barcelona · Clay Cameron Norrie L 1-2
Apr 05, 2026 Monte Carlo · Clay Sebastian Baez L 0-2

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Stan Wawrinka?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.2 actual vs 6.2 projected
2.75 our average miss per match
3.20 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+14% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 11 of the 16 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Stan Wawrinka follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 18 6-12 83.3% 3 vs 5.8 exp On serve
2025 16 3-13 68.8% 5 vs 6.3 exp On serve
2024 bt 25 9-16 64.0% 9 vs 8.8 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Stan Wawrinka's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/stan-wawrinka">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)