Jacob Fearnley

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1593 · #112 Hard #102 Clay #76 Grass #112 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

38-39 49.4% in 77 matches

Clay 12-8
Grass 5-8
Hard 21-23

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 23 10-13 1575 1638 1593
2025 42 22-20 1566 1774 1670
2024 12 6-6 1505 1582 1560

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Tomas Martin Etcheverry L 1-3
Martin Landaluce W 3-2
Jurij Rodionov L 1-2
Luka Pavlovic W 2-1
Roberto Carballes Baena W 2-0
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Nicolas Mejia L 1-2
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Jakub Mensik L 1-2
Adrian Mannarino W 2-0
Sebastian Ofner W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Jaume Munar L 0-3

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Jacob Fearnley?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 5.0 actual vs 6.2 projected
3.23 our average miss per match
3.08 baseline average miss (last five matches)
-5% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 27 of the 32 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Jacob Fearnley follow the script?

On serve · 2025
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2025 32 13-19 59.4% 13 vs 12.0 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Jacob Fearnley's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

The ATP ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:

Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/jacob-fearnley">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)