Joao Fonseca

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1852 · #15 Hard #16 Clay #15 Grass #47 Last match: Aug 13, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

51-37 58.0% in 88 matches

Clay 23-17
Grass 5-7
Hard 23-13

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 32 19-13 1651 1918 1852
2025 40 25-15 1553 1827 1772
2024 15 7-8 1504 1588 1546
2023 1 0-1 1502 1487 1487

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Botic van de Zandschulp W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Ben Shelton L 0-2
Casper Ruud W 2-0
Stefanos Tsitsipas W 2-0
Jun 29, 2026 Wimbledon · Grass Roman Safiullin L 0-3
Jesper de Jong W 3-0
Roberto Bautista Agut W 3-0
Jun 15, 2026 Halle · Grass Yannick Hanfmann L 0-2
May 24, 2026 Roland Garros · Clay Jakub Mensik L 0-3
Casper Ruud W 3-1

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Joao Fonseca?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 6.7 actual vs 5.7 projected
2.32 our average miss per match
2.84 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+18% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 32 of the 37 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Joao Fonseca follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 32 19-13 62.5% 12 vs 12.3 exp On serve
2025 37 22-15 45.9% 20 vs 15.3 exp Wild card

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Joao Fonseca's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/joao-fonseca">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)