Delray Beach FL, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Patrick Kypson vs Terence Atmane: AI Prediction | Games, Aces & Double Faults

Patrick Kypson

Rank: #109
40%
VS

Terence Atmane

Rank: #64
60%
Expected Total Games: 22.7
Predicted Winner: Terence Atmane

Ranking Trends

Patrick Kypson

  • Current Rank: #109 (2026-02-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #117 (2025-11-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #189 (2025-08-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #343 (2025-05-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #348 (2025-02-17)

Terence Atmane

  • Current Rank: #64 (2026-02-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #65 (2025-11-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #69 (2025-08-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #121 (2025-05-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #161 (2025-02-17)

Player Metrics

Patrick Kypson

Form Index: 27.0
ELO Rating: 455.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1516.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.4
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 77.5
Return Rating: 47.4

Terence Atmane

Form Index: 6.8
ELO Rating: 748.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1530.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 6.4
Grass: 7.4
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 91.6

Recent Matches

Patrick Kypson
❌ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (0-2) hard Dallas 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Pinnington Jones (1-2) hard Dallas 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Pedro Sakamoto (2-0) hard Dallas 67 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (1-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Emilio Nava (0-2) hard Auckland 77 min

Terence Atmane
❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (1-2) hard Dallas 108 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Francesco Maestrelli (2-3) hard Australian Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) hard Adelaide 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Brisbane 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) hard Brisbane 94 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Patrick Kypson
vs
0
Terence Atmane
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

This round-of-32 match in Delray Beach, Florida is a hard-court encounter at an ATP 250-level event where Terence Atmane is favored. The model predicts Atmane to win with a 60.15% probability to Kypson’s 39.85%, and expects a relatively short match of about 22.7 total games.

Match Analysis

Patrick Kypson (rank 109) arrives with a higher form index (26.98) than Atmane but a lower Elo rating (455.09 vs 748.32). Both players show zero cumulative fatigue from the current tournament. Kypson’s surface strength index is 3.44 versus Atmane’s 6.63; neither profile indicates a dominant comfort on hard courts, though Atmane’s Elo suggests stronger overall results. The mean serve index gap is substantial (Kypson 77.52 vs Atmane 98.15), and the mean return index gap is even larger (Kypson 47.41 vs Atmane 91.56), both differences exceeding 5 points and pointing to Atmane’s dual advantage on serve and return metrics. Over the last three matches Kypson is 1-2: a straight-sets win over Pedro Sakamoto (67 minutes) followed by two losses in Dallas, including a long 174-minute contest and an 84-minute second-round exit to Aleksandar Kovacevic. Atmane’s recent slate shows three straight defeats on hard courts—losses to Frances Tiafoe (1-2, 108 minutes), Francesco Maestrelli (2-3, 174 minutes), and Ugo Humbert (0-2, 92 minutes)—so while his Elo and serve/return indices are strong, recent match outcomes have not favored him.

Total Games Predictions

🎾
Expected Total Games in Match 22.7 Most likely outcome: 22 games

📊 Total Games Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each total games outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total games ≤ X

Aces and Double Faults Predictions

The aces prediction for the match is 12.95 total, with an expected double faults figure of 4.17. On a medium-paced hard court that produces a moderate number of aces compared with grass or clay, the predicted aces reflect Atmane’s much higher serve index and should boost the predicted aces total. Given Atmane’s serve supremacy in the data, he is likely to contribute the bulk of the predicted aces; the expected double faults remain modest.
🎯
Expected Total Aces 12.9 Most likely: 12 aces
❌
Expected Total Double Faults 4.2 Most likely: 4 double faults

🎯 Aces Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each ace count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of aces ≤ X

❌ Double Faults Probability Distribution

Distribution

Probability of each double fault count outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of double faults ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

Final Prediction

Atmane’s higher Elo and pronounced serve and return indices give him the statistical edge despite recent losses. The key factor to watch is how effectively Atmane’s serve and return translate into free points against Kypson’s comparatively weaker return game.

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