Titouan Droguet vs Aleksandar Kovacevic: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Kovacevic arrives with the higher ranking (56 vs 155) and a substantially higher Elo (936.24 vs 409.63), indicating a clear edge in career-level performance metrics. He also carries less on-court fatigue this week (114 minutes) compared with Droguet’s 276 minutes. Droguet shows a stronger recent form index (46.25) than Kovacevic (31.49), suggesting he’s playing confidently in this event despite the rank gap. On surface strength, Kovacevic (7.45) edges Droguet (1.41), though both indices are modest on the provided 0–100 scale. Serving and returning profiles differ sharply: Kovacevic’s mean serve index (98.46) is far higher than Droguet’s (57.68), a difference well above the 5-point threshold; his mean return index (89.12) also substantially outpaces Droguet’s (48.12). Those gaps point to Kovacevic’s ability to both hold serve aggressively and press on return games. Over the last three matches at hard courts this week Droguet has been impeccable — three wins (against Choinski, Blanchet and Bertrand) including a long 137-minute match — showing stamina and confidence. Kovacevic has mixed recent results: a win over Moise Kouame in Montpellier but earlier defeats to Tommy Paul and Hamad Medjedovic at other events, with longer, tiring matches in recent weeks.