Tommy Paul
ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015
Season ELO trajectory
One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.
Career record
265-157 62.8% in 422 matches
Season by season
| Season | M | W-L | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 54 | 38-16 | 1705 | 1904 | 1904 |
| 2025 | 41 | 28-13 | 1814 | 2005 | 1841 |
| 2024 | 60 | 42-18 | 1766 | 1988 | 1837 |
| 2023 | 63 | 39-24 | 1621 | 1966 | 1824 |
| 2022 | 56 | 32-24 | 1635 | 1908 | 1878 |
| 2021 | 43 | 27-16 | 1608 | 1869 | 1869 |
| 2020 | 32 | 19-13 | 1560 | 1705 | 1616 |
| 2019 | 26 | 15-11 | 1526 | 1668 | 1639 |
| 2018 | 10 | 6-4 | 1536 | 1594 | 1582 |
| 2017 | 13 | 8-5 | 1518 | 1670 | 1601 |
| 2016 | 17 | 7-10 | 1519 | 1598 | 1480 |
| 2015 | 7 | 4-3 | 1500 | 1612 | 1586 |
Recent matches
| Week | Tournament | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Us Open · Hard | Alexander Bublik | W 3-2 |
| Dino Prizmic | W 3-1 | ||
| Coleman Wong | W 3-1 | ||
| Aug 13, 2026 | Cincinnati · Hard | Flavio Cobolli | L 1-2 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 2-1 | ||
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 2-1 | ||
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 2-1 | ||
| Aug 02, 2026 | Toronto · Hard | Learner Tien | L 0-2 |
| Valentin Royer | W 2-0 | ||
| Jul 27, 2026 | Washington · Hard | Kamil Majchrzak | L 0-2 |
Serve predictions: how close do we get on Tommy Paul?
Comparison covers 36 of the 41 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.
The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.
Predictability: does Tommy Paul follow the script?
On serve · 2026| Season | M | W-L | Model hit | Upsets | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 54 | 38-16 | 68.5% | 17 vs 17.7 exp | On serve |
| 2025 | 41 | 28-13 | 70.7% | 12 vs 14.0 exp | On serve |
| 2024 bt | 60 | 42-18 | 68.3% | 19 vs 18.1 exp | On serve |
An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Tommy Paul's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/tommy-paul">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)