Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Finals

Valentin Royer vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Valentin Royer

Rank: #88
40%
VS

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #19
60%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Bublik

Ranking Trends

Valentin Royer

  • Current Rank: #88 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #114 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #121 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #197 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #213 (2024-09-16)

Alexander Bublik

  • Current Rank: #19 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #45 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #80 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #33 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #27 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 59.5
ELO Rating: 756.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1568.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 768.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.8
Clay: 2.8
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 74.1
ELO Rating: 1852.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1760.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 247.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.8
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.2

Recent Matches

Valentin Royer
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) hard Hangzhou 86 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-1) hard Hangzhou 158 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Hangzhou 108 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Hangzhou 152 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-1) hard Hangzhou 163 min

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Yibing Wu (2-0) hard Hangzhou 61 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Dalibor Svrcina (2-0) hard Hangzhou 53 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Vukic (2-1) hard Hangzhou 133 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Tommy Paul (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Tristan Schoolkate (3-0) hard Us Open 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Valentin Royer
vs
0
Alexander Bublik
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The finals at the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, promises an exciting encounter between Valentin Royer and Alexander Bublik on hard courts. The predicted winner is Alexander Bublik, with a 59.92% probability of victory, while Valentin Royer holds a 40.08% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is estimated at 24.

Match Analysis

Alexander Bublik, currently ranked 19, boasts a superior form index of 74.06 compared to Royer's 59.50. His Elo rating of 1852.49 also significantly outpaces Royer's 756.68, highlighting Bublik's experience and skill level. Bublik's fatigue level is lower at 247 minutes compared to Royer's 768 minutes, which could significantly impact their performance in the final. On the surface strength index, Bublik leads with a score of 10.84, while Royer holds a score of 5.83, indicating Bublik's better adaptability to hard courts. In terms of serve and return, the mean serve index difference favors Royer, who has an index of 96.55 over Bublik's 95.50, but the mean return index shows Bublik's advantage with 86.21 compared to Royer's 88.54. Analyzing recent performances, both players have shown strong form, with Royer winning all his last three matches, including victories over notable players like Andrey Rublev. Bublik also comes into this match with three consecutive wins, including a decisive performance against Yibing Wu, underscoring his current competitive edge.

Final Prediction

Bublik's higher ranking, superior form, and lower fatigue levels give him a distinct advantage going into the finals. A key factor to watch will be Bublik's ability to maintain his return strength, as it could be pivotal in countering Royer's serve.