Andrey Rublev

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1727 · #42 Hard #52 Clay #13 Grass #26 Last match: Aug 30, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

372-211 63.8% in 583 matches

Clay 106-60
Grass 29-19
Hard 237-132

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 45 28-17 1751 1871 1727
2025 58 34-24 1852 1932 1824
2024 64 42-22 1980 2050 1809
2023 73 53-20 1893 2030 2018
2022 59 41-18 2015 2071 1869
2021 56 40-16 1916 2118 1866
2020 43 35-8 1658 2008 1959
2019 60 36-24 1566 1919 1828
2018 36 18-18 1623 1764 1599
2017 54 30-24 1540 1877 1782
2016 15 4-11 1527 1518 1428
2015 20 11-9 1509 1656 1642

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Daniel Merida L 1-3
Otto Virtanen W 3-2
Aug 13, 2026 Cincinnati · Hard Nuno Borges L 0-2
Pablo Carreno Busta W 2-0
Aug 02, 2026 Toronto · Hard Juncheng Shang L 1-2
Jul 20, 2026 Estoril · Clay Luca Van Assche L 1-2
Timofey Skatov W 2-0
Jul 13, 2026 Bastad · Clay Luciano Darderi W 2-0
Alejandro Tabilo W 2-1
Sebastian Baez W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Andrey Rublev?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 8.1 actual vs 7.9 projected
2.95 our average miss per match
3.26 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+10% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 53 of the 58 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Andrey Rublev follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 45 28-17 68.9% 14 vs 15.2 exp On serve
2025 58 34-24 69.0% 18 vs 20.4 exp On serve
2024 bt 64 42-22 65.6% 22 vs 15.6 exp Wild card

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Andrey Rublev's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/andrey-rublev">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)