Alexander Bublik

ATP ELO profile · tour-level matches since 2015

ELO 1789 · #30 Hard #23 Clay #23 Grass #8 Last match: Oct 07, 2026

Season ELO trajectory

One point per match: the player's ELO rating after that match, matches in round order. Ratings are season-scoped: every January the engine re-seeds each player from ATP entry points, then updates after every result. That is why trajectories are shown one season at a time. Hover a point for the match behind it.

Career record

221-191 53.6% in 412 matches

Clay 50-50
Grass 51-29
Hard 120-112

Season by season

SeasonMW-LStartPeakEnd
2026 48 29-19 1784 1894 1789
2025 59 38-21 1642 2031 1929
2024 47 24-23 1637 1751 1619
2023 46 22-24 1613 1810 1737
2022 51 28-23 1654 1798 1719
2021 49 25-24 1609 1780 1676
2020 28 12-16 1592 1647 1561
2019 42 22-20 1532 1714 1629
2018 19 9-10 1550 1589 1495
2017 23 12-11 1526 1697 1549

Recent matches

WeekTournamentOpponentResult
Oct 07, 2026 Shanghai · Hard Alexander Zverev L 1-2
Brandon Nakashima W 2-1
Tomas Machac W 2-0
Sep 30, 2026 Beijing · Hard Jakub Mensik L 0-2
Aug 30, 2026 Us Open · Hard Tommy Paul L 2-3
Adrian Mannarino W 3-0
J.J. Wolf W 3-1
Jul 20, 2026 Kitzbuhel · Clay Quentin Halys L 0-2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry W 2-0
Alex Molcan W 2-0

Serve predictions: how close do we get on Alexander Bublik?

2025 · out-of-sample backtest Aces per match: 11.7 actual vs 9.9 projected
4.21 our average miss per match
4.84 baseline average miss (last five matches)
+13% accuracy edge over the baseline

Comparison covers 50 of the 55 aces projections we made in 2025. A match needs five earlier matches on record before the baseline exists.

The baseline predicts a player's aces as the average of their last five matches. Our model beats it when its projections land closer to what actually happened. Both numbers are the average miss per match, so lower is better, and both are for the selected season only.

Predictability: does Alexander Bublik follow the script?

On serve · 2026
SeasonMW-LModel hitUpsetsVerdict
2026 48 29-19 64.6% 17 vs 16.9 exp On serve
2025 55 35-20 56.4% 24 vs 21.0 exp On serve
2024 bt 47 24-23 57.4% 20 vs 19.7 exp On serve

An upset = our model's favorite losing. "Upsets" compares how many actually happened in Alexander Bublik's matches with how many the model expected for that exact schedule. A season-level read (a wild-card season does not carry over year to year). How to read this · full board: most predictable ATP players.

Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0

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Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/tennis-power-rankings/alexander-bublik">ATP ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)